Mount Google Drive

In [2]:
from google.colab import drive
drive.mount('/content/drive')
import os
path="/content/drive/My Drive/llmtime-main"
os.chdir(path)
os.listdir(path)

Mounted at /content/drive
Out[2]:
['LICENSE',
 'demo.ipynb',
 'visualize.ipynb',
 'README.md',
 'demo.py',
 'install.sh',
 'precomputed_outputs',
 'experiments',
 'models',
 'datasets',
 'data',
 'figures',
 'assets',
 'outputs',
 'experiments_visualize_20240708_2.html']
In [3]:
!pip install numpy
!pip install torch==2.1.1+cu118 -f https://download.pytorch.org/whl/torch_stable.html # Install PyTorch with CUDA 11.8
!pip install torchvision==0.18.1+cu118 -f https://download.pytorch.org/whl/torch_stable.html # Install torchvision with CUDA 11.8
!pip install tiktoken
!pip install tqdm
!pip install matplotlib
!pip install "pandas<2.0.0"
!pip install darts
!pip install gpytorch
!pip install transformers
!pip install datasets
!pip install multiprocess
!pip install SentencePiece
!pip install accelerate
!pip install gdown
!pip install mistralai #for mistral models

Requirement already satisfied: numpy in /usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages (1.25.2)
Looking in links: https://download.pytorch.org/whl/torch_stable.html
Collecting torch==2.1.1+cu118
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Collecting triton==2.1.0 (from torch==2.1.1+cu118)
  Downloading triton-2.1.0-0-cp310-cp310-manylinux2014_x86_64.manylinux_2_17_x86_64.whl (89.2 MB)
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Installing collected packages: triton, torch
  Attempting uninstall: triton
    Found existing installation: triton 2.3.0
    Uninstalling triton-2.3.0:
      Successfully uninstalled triton-2.3.0
  Attempting uninstall: torch
    Found existing installation: torch 2.3.0+cu121
    Uninstalling torch-2.3.0+cu121:
      Successfully uninstalled torch-2.3.0+cu121
ERROR: pip's dependency resolver does not currently take into account all the packages that are installed. This behaviour is the source of the following dependency conflicts.
torchaudio 2.3.0+cu121 requires torch==2.3.0, but you have torch 2.1.1+cu118 which is incompatible.
torchtext 0.18.0 requires torch>=2.3.0, but you have torch 2.1.1+cu118 which is incompatible.
torchvision 0.18.0+cu121 requires torch==2.3.0, but you have torch 2.1.1+cu118 which is incompatible.
Successfully installed torch-2.1.1+cu118 triton-2.1.0
Looking in links: https://download.pytorch.org/whl/torch_stable.html
Collecting torchvision==0.18.1+cu118
  Downloading https://download.pytorch.org/whl/cu118/torchvision-0.18.1%2Bcu118-cp310-cp310-linux_x86_64.whl (6.3 MB)
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Collecting torch==2.3.1 (from torchvision==0.18.1+cu118)
  Downloading https://download.pytorch.org/whl/rocm6.0/torch-2.3.1%2Brocm6.0-cp310-cp310-linux_x86_64.whl (2193.5 MB)
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Collecting pytorch-triton-rocm==2.3.1 (from torch==2.3.1->torchvision==0.18.1+cu118)
  Downloading https://download.pytorch.org/whl/pytorch_triton_rocm-2.3.1-cp310-cp310-linux_x86_64.whl (234.3 MB)
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Installing collected packages: pytorch-triton-rocm, torch, torchvision
  Attempting uninstall: torch
    Found existing installation: torch 2.1.1+cu118
    Uninstalling torch-2.1.1+cu118:
      Successfully uninstalled torch-2.1.1+cu118
  Attempting uninstall: torchvision
    Found existing installation: torchvision 0.18.0+cu121
    Uninstalling torchvision-0.18.0+cu121:
      Successfully uninstalled torchvision-0.18.0+cu121
ERROR: pip's dependency resolver does not currently take into account all the packages that are installed. This behaviour is the source of the following dependency conflicts.
torchaudio 2.3.0+cu121 requires torch==2.3.0, but you have torch 2.3.1+rocm6.0 which is incompatible.
Successfully installed pytorch-triton-rocm-2.3.1 torch-2.3.1+rocm6.0 torchvision-0.18.1+cu118
Collecting tiktoken
  Downloading tiktoken-0.7.0-cp310-cp310-manylinux_2_17_x86_64.manylinux2014_x86_64.whl (1.1 MB)
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Installing collected packages: tiktoken
Successfully installed tiktoken-0.7.0
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Collecting pandas<2.0.0
  Downloading pandas-1.5.3-cp310-cp310-manylinux_2_17_x86_64.manylinux2014_x86_64.whl (12.1 MB)
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Installing collected packages: pandas
  Attempting uninstall: pandas
    Found existing installation: pandas 2.0.3
    Uninstalling pandas-2.0.3:
      Successfully uninstalled pandas-2.0.3
ERROR: pip's dependency resolver does not currently take into account all the packages that are installed. This behaviour is the source of the following dependency conflicts.
cudf-cu12 24.4.1 requires pandas<2.2.2dev0,>=2.0, but you have pandas 1.5.3 which is incompatible.
google-colab 1.0.0 requires pandas==2.0.3, but you have pandas 1.5.3 which is incompatible.
Successfully installed pandas-1.5.3
Collecting darts
  Downloading darts-0.30.0-py3-none-any.whl (917 kB)
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Collecting nfoursid>=1.0.0 (from darts)
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Collecting pmdarima>=1.8.0 (from darts)
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Collecting pyod>=0.9.5 (from darts)
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  Preparing metadata (setup.py) ... done
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Collecting shap>=0.40.0 (from darts)
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Collecting torchmetrics>=0.7.0 (from pytorch-lightning>=1.5.0->darts)
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Collecting lightning-utilities>=0.10.0 (from pytorch-lightning>=1.5.0->darts)
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Collecting utilsforecast>=0.1.4 (from statsforecast>=1.4->darts)
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Collecting triad>=0.9.7 (from fugue>=0.8.1->statsforecast>=1.4->darts)
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Collecting adagio>=0.2.4 (from fugue>=0.8.1->statsforecast>=1.4->darts)
  Downloading adagio-0.2.4-py3-none-any.whl (26 kB)
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Collecting fs (from triad>=0.9.7->fugue>=0.8.1->statsforecast>=1.4->darts)
  Downloading fs-2.4.16-py2.py3-none-any.whl (135 kB)
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Collecting appdirs~=1.4.3 (from fs->triad>=0.9.7->fugue>=0.8.1->statsforecast>=1.4->darts)
  Downloading appdirs-1.4.4-py2.py3-none-any.whl (9.6 kB)
Building wheels for collected packages: pyod
  Building wheel for pyod (setup.py) ... done
  Created wheel for pyod: filename=pyod-2.0.1-py3-none-any.whl size=193267 sha256=d7bb7700cb7702a82cab33e569aa831b39194596230fcd6bc03dfd8ca4005d66
  Stored in directory: /root/.cache/pip/wheels/94/75/88/b853cf33b0053b0a001dca55b74d515048b7656e736364eb57
Successfully built pyod
Installing collected packages: appdirs, tensorboardX, slicer, lightning-utilities, fs, coreforecast, utilsforecast, triad, torchmetrics, shap, pyod, nfoursid, pytorch-lightning, pmdarima, adagio, tbats, fugue, statsforecast, darts
Successfully installed adagio-0.2.4 appdirs-1.4.4 coreforecast-0.0.10 darts-0.30.0 fs-2.4.16 fugue-0.9.1 lightning-utilities-0.11.3.post0 nfoursid-1.0.1 pmdarima-2.0.4 pyod-2.0.1 pytorch-lightning-2.3.2 shap-0.46.0 slicer-0.0.8 statsforecast-1.7.5 tbats-1.1.3 tensorboardX-2.6.2.2 torchmetrics-1.4.0.post0 triad-0.9.8 utilsforecast-0.1.12
Collecting gpytorch
  Downloading gpytorch-1.12-py3-none-any.whl (274 kB)
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Requirement already satisfied: mpmath<=1.3,>=0.19 in /usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages (from gpytorch) (1.3.0)
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Collecting linear-operator>=0.5.2 (from gpytorch)
  Downloading linear_operator-0.5.2-py3-none-any.whl (175 kB)
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Collecting jaxtyping>=0.2.9 (from linear-operator>=0.5.2->gpytorch)
  Downloading jaxtyping-0.2.31-py3-none-any.whl (41 kB)
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Collecting typeguard~=2.13.3 (from linear-operator>=0.5.2->gpytorch)
  Downloading typeguard-2.13.3-py3-none-any.whl (17 kB)
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Installing collected packages: typeguard, jaxtyping, linear-operator, gpytorch
Successfully installed gpytorch-1.12 jaxtyping-0.2.31 linear-operator-0.5.2 typeguard-2.13.3
Requirement already satisfied: transformers in /usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages (4.41.2)
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Collecting datasets
  Downloading datasets-2.20.0-py3-none-any.whl (547 kB)
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Collecting pyarrow>=15.0.0 (from datasets)
  Downloading pyarrow-16.1.0-cp310-cp310-manylinux_2_28_x86_64.whl (40.8 MB)
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Collecting dill<0.3.9,>=0.3.0 (from datasets)
  Downloading dill-0.3.8-py3-none-any.whl (116 kB)
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Collecting requests>=2.32.2 (from datasets)
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Collecting xxhash (from datasets)
  Downloading xxhash-3.4.1-cp310-cp310-manylinux_2_17_x86_64.manylinux2014_x86_64.whl (194 kB)
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Collecting multiprocess (from datasets)
  Downloading multiprocess-0.70.16-py310-none-any.whl (134 kB)
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Requirement already satisfied: six>=1.5 in /usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages (from python-dateutil>=2.8.1->pandas->datasets) (1.16.0)
Installing collected packages: xxhash, requests, pyarrow, dill, multiprocess, datasets
  Attempting uninstall: requests
    Found existing installation: requests 2.31.0
    Uninstalling requests-2.31.0:
      Successfully uninstalled requests-2.31.0
  Attempting uninstall: pyarrow
    Found existing installation: pyarrow 14.0.2
    Uninstalling pyarrow-14.0.2:
      Successfully uninstalled pyarrow-14.0.2
ERROR: pip's dependency resolver does not currently take into account all the packages that are installed. This behaviour is the source of the following dependency conflicts.
cudf-cu12 24.4.1 requires pandas<2.2.2dev0,>=2.0, but you have pandas 1.5.3 which is incompatible.
cudf-cu12 24.4.1 requires pyarrow<15.0.0a0,>=14.0.1, but you have pyarrow 16.1.0 which is incompatible.
google-colab 1.0.0 requires pandas==2.0.3, but you have pandas 1.5.3 which is incompatible.
google-colab 1.0.0 requires requests==2.31.0, but you have requests 2.32.3 which is incompatible.
ibis-framework 8.0.0 requires pyarrow<16,>=2, but you have pyarrow 16.1.0 which is incompatible.
Successfully installed datasets-2.20.0 dill-0.3.8 multiprocess-0.70.16 pyarrow-16.1.0 requests-2.32.3 xxhash-3.4.1
Requirement already satisfied: multiprocess in /usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages (0.70.16)
Requirement already satisfied: dill>=0.3.8 in /usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages (from multiprocess) (0.3.8)
Requirement already satisfied: SentencePiece in /usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages (0.1.99)
Collecting accelerate
  Downloading accelerate-0.32.1-py3-none-any.whl (314 kB)
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In [3]:
!pip install openai==0.28.1

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In [13]:
import os
import openai
os.environ['OPENAI_API_KEY'] = 'pls_put_your_own_key_here'
# print(os.environ['OPENAI_API_KEY'])

# Set the API key
openai.api_key = os.environ.get('OPENAI_API_KEY')

# Define a simple function to test the API with gpt-3.5-turbo
def test_openai_api():
    try:
        response = openai.ChatCompletion.create(
            model="gpt-3.5-turbo",
            messages=[
                {"role": "system", "content": "You are a helpful assistant."},
                {"role": "user", "content": "Say this is a test"}
            ]
        )
        print("API is working. Here is the response:")
        print(response.choices[0].message['content'].strip())
    except Exception as e:
        print(f"API call failed: {e}")

# Run the test
test_openai_api()

API is working. Here is the response:
This is a test. How can I assist you further?
In [ ]:
!python -m experiments.run_darts

Starting AirPassengersDataset text-davinci-003
Train length: 86, Val length: 29
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/32 [00:00<?, ?it/s]CUDA backend failed to initialize: Unable to use CUDA because of the following issues with CUDA components:
Outdated cuDNN installation found.
Version JAX was built against: 8906
Minimum supported: 8900
Installed version: 8700
The local installation version must be no lower than 8900. (Set TF_CPP_MIN_LOG_LEVEL=0 and rerun for more info.)
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/32 [00:01<?, ?it/s]
Failed AirPassengersDataset text-davinci-003
The model `text-davinci-003` has been deprecated, learn more here: https://platform.openai.com/docs/deprecations
Starting AirPassengersDataset gpt-4
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'gpt-4', 'alpha': 0.3, 'basic': True, 'temp': 1.0, 'top_p': 0.8, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=', ', bit_sep='', plus_sign='', minus_sign='-', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
100% 1/1 [00:07<00:00,  7.84s/it]
Warning: Prediction too short 26 < 29, padded with last value
Starting AirPassengersDataset gp
Train length: 86, Val length: 29
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/4 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
  0% 0/300 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
  5% 15/300 [00:00<00:01, 147.58it/s]
 11% 32/300 [00:00<00:01, 155.15it/s]
 16% 49/300 [00:00<00:01, 158.37it/s]
 22% 66/300 [00:00<00:01, 160.07it/s]
 28% 83/300 [00:00<00:01, 160.47it/s]
 33% 100/300 [00:00<00:01, 159.95it/s]
 39% 117/300 [00:00<00:01, 162.07it/s]
 45% 134/300 [00:00<00:01, 164.30it/s]
 50% 151/300 [00:00<00:00, 165.49it/s]
 56% 168/300 [00:01<00:00, 166.34it/s]
 62% 185/300 [00:01<00:00, 167.42it/s]
 67% 202/300 [00:01<00:00, 162.26it/s]
 73% 219/300 [00:01<00:00, 159.38it/s]
 78% 235/300 [00:01<00:00, 158.89it/s]
 84% 252/300 [00:01<00:00, 160.07it/s]
 90% 269/300 [00:01<00:00, 159.20it/s]
100% 300/300 [00:01<00:00, 160.59it/s]
Hyperparameter search:  25% 1/4 [00:01<00:05,  1.89s/it]
  0% 0/300 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
  5% 14/300 [00:00<00:02, 136.05it/s]
 10% 29/300 [00:00<00:01, 139.09it/s]
 15% 44/300 [00:00<00:01, 140.11it/s]
 20% 59/300 [00:00<00:01, 141.74it/s]
 25% 74/300 [00:00<00:01, 142.36it/s]
 30% 89/300 [00:00<00:01, 143.14it/s]
 35% 104/300 [00:00<00:01, 143.57it/s]
 40% 119/300 [00:00<00:01, 143.00it/s]
 45% 134/300 [00:00<00:01, 142.31it/s]
 50% 149/300 [00:01<00:01, 142.35it/s]
 55% 164/300 [00:01<00:01, 85.43it/s] 
 60% 179/300 [00:01<00:01, 97.30it/s]
 65% 194/300 [00:01<00:00, 107.52it/s]
 70% 209/300 [00:01<00:00, 115.71it/s]
 75% 224/300 [00:01<00:00, 123.02it/s]
 80% 239/300 [00:01<00:00, 130.03it/s]
 84% 253/300 [00:02<00:00, 131.65it/s]
 90% 270/300 [00:02<00:00, 140.46it/s]
100% 300/300 [00:02<00:00, 130.83it/s]
Hyperparameter search:  50% 2/4 [00:04<00:04,  2.13s/it]
  0% 0/300 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
  6% 17/300 [00:00<00:01, 167.57it/s]
 12% 35/300 [00:00<00:01, 169.85it/s]
 18% 53/300 [00:00<00:01, 170.78it/s]
 24% 71/300 [00:00<00:01, 170.56it/s]
 30% 89/300 [00:00<00:01, 170.48it/s]
 36% 107/300 [00:00<00:01, 170.33it/s]
 42% 125/300 [00:00<00:01, 171.33it/s]
 48% 143/300 [00:00<00:00, 169.79it/s]
 54% 161/300 [00:00<00:00, 170.38it/s]
 60% 179/300 [00:01<00:00, 166.59it/s]
 66% 197/300 [00:01<00:00, 169.05it/s]
 72% 215/300 [00:01<00:00, 169.85it/s]
 78% 233/300 [00:01<00:00, 170.68it/s]
 84% 251/300 [00:01<00:00, 171.21it/s]
 90% 269/300 [00:01<00:00, 171.25it/s]
100% 300/300 [00:01<00:00, 169.90it/s]
Hyperparameter search:  75% 3/4 [00:05<00:01,  1.97s/it]
  0% 0/300 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
  6% 17/300 [00:00<00:01, 169.40it/s]
 11% 34/300 [00:00<00:01, 169.53it/s]
 17% 51/300 [00:00<00:01, 167.11it/s]
 23% 69/300 [00:00<00:01, 170.10it/s]
 29% 87/300 [00:00<00:01, 171.38it/s]
 35% 105/300 [00:00<00:01, 172.93it/s]
 41% 123/300 [00:00<00:01, 173.61it/s]
 47% 141/300 [00:00<00:00, 173.84it/s]
 53% 159/300 [00:00<00:00, 172.12it/s]
 59% 177/300 [00:01<00:00, 171.67it/s]
 65% 195/300 [00:01<00:00, 171.30it/s]
 71% 213/300 [00:01<00:00, 167.36it/s]
 77% 230/300 [00:01<00:00, 159.50it/s]
 83% 248/300 [00:01<00:00, 164.74it/s]
 89% 267/300 [00:01<00:00, 169.77it/s]
100% 300/300 [00:01<00:00, 170.76it/s]
Hyperparameter search: 100% 4/4 [00:07<00:00,  1.94s/it]
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'lr': 0.05}) 
 with NLL 4.584762
100% 300/300 [00:02<00:00, 147.45it/s]
Starting AirPassengersDataset arima
Train length: 86, Val length: 29
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/18 [00:00<?, ?it/s]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:   6% 1/18 [00:02<00:45,  2.69s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  11% 2/18 [00:05<00:40,  2.55s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  17% 3/18 [00:07<00:37,  2.52s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  22% 4/18 [00:22<01:42,  7.34s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  28% 5/18 [00:25<01:14,  5.71s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  33% 6/18 [00:39<01:42,  8.51s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  39% 7/18 [00:41<01:12,  6.56s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  44% 8/18 [00:46<01:01,  6.16s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  50% 9/18 [00:54<00:58,  6.47s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  56% 10/18 [01:09<01:13,  9.23s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  61% 11/18 [01:15<00:58,  8.33s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  67% 12/18 [01:30<01:02, 10.38s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  72% 13/18 [01:45<00:58, 11.70s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  78% 14/18 [02:01<00:51, 12.99s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  83% 15/18 [02:08<00:33, 11.17s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  89% 16/18 [02:10<00:17,  8.52s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  94% 17/18 [02:17<00:07,  7.93s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search: 100% 18/18 [02:23<00:00,  7.99s/it]
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'p': 12, 'd': 2, 'q': 1}) 
 with NLL 3.725468
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Starting AirPassengersDataset N-HiTS
Train length: 86, Val length: 29
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]************ Fitting model... ************
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed AirPassengersDataset N-HiTS
No supported gpu backend found!
Starting AirPassengersDataset TCN
Train length: 86, Val length: 29
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]************ Fitting model... ************
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed AirPassengersDataset TCN
No supported gpu backend found!
Starting AirPassengersDataset N-BEATS
Train length: 86, Val length: 29
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]************ Fitting model... ************
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed AirPassengersDataset N-BEATS
No supported gpu backend found!
Finished AirPassengersDataset
Starting AusBeerDataset text-davinci-003
Train length: 125, Val length: 43
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/32 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed AusBeerDataset text-davinci-003
The model `text-davinci-003` has been deprecated, learn more here: https://platform.openai.com/docs/deprecations
Starting AusBeerDataset gpt-4
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'gpt-4', 'alpha': 0.3, 'basic': True, 'temp': 1.0, 'top_p': 0.8, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=', ', bit_sep='', plus_sign='', minus_sign='-', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
100% 1/1 [00:06<00:00,  6.67s/it]
Warning: Prediction too short 20 < 43, padded with last value
Warning: Prediction too short 4 < 43, padded with last value
Starting AusBeerDataset gp
Train length: 125, Val length: 43
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/4 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
  0% 0/300 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
  4% 11/300 [00:00<00:02, 109.19it/s]
  8% 24/300 [00:00<00:02, 116.14it/s]
 12% 37/300 [00:00<00:02, 120.49it/s]
 17% 50/300 [00:00<00:02, 122.33it/s]
 21% 63/300 [00:00<00:01, 122.79it/s]
 25% 76/300 [00:00<00:01, 122.72it/s]
 30% 89/300 [00:00<00:01, 122.51it/s]
 34% 102/300 [00:00<00:01, 123.09it/s]
 38% 115/300 [00:00<00:01, 123.56it/s]
 43% 128/300 [00:01<00:01, 123.74it/s]
 47% 141/300 [00:01<00:01, 123.31it/s]
 51% 154/300 [00:01<00:01, 124.87it/s]
 56% 167/300 [00:01<00:01, 126.31it/s]
 60% 181/300 [00:01<00:00, 128.05it/s]
 65% 195/300 [00:01<00:00, 129.10it/s]
 70% 210/300 [00:01<00:00, 134.10it/s]
 75% 225/300 [00:01<00:00, 138.09it/s]
 80% 240/300 [00:01<00:00, 140.85it/s]
 85% 255/300 [00:01<00:00, 142.94it/s]
 90% 270/300 [00:02<00:00, 144.68it/s]
 95% 285/300 [00:02<00:00, 146.21it/s]
100% 300/300 [00:02<00:00, 131.24it/s]
Hyperparameter search:  25% 1/4 [00:02<00:06,  2.30s/it]
  0% 0/300 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
  5% 15/300 [00:00<00:01, 145.79it/s]
 10% 30/300 [00:00<00:01, 147.63it/s]
 15% 45/300 [00:00<00:01, 147.04it/s]
 20% 60/300 [00:00<00:01, 146.55it/s]
 25% 75/300 [00:00<00:01, 146.48it/s]
 30% 90/300 [00:00<00:01, 147.41it/s]
 35% 105/300 [00:00<00:01, 145.48it/s]
 40% 120/300 [00:00<00:01, 146.26it/s]
 45% 135/300 [00:00<00:01, 147.19it/s]
 50% 150/300 [00:01<00:01, 147.97it/s]
 55% 165/300 [00:01<00:00, 147.51it/s]
 60% 180/300 [00:01<00:00, 147.43it/s]
 65% 195/300 [00:01<00:00, 146.50it/s]
 70% 210/300 [00:01<00:00, 145.74it/s]
 75% 225/300 [00:01<00:00, 146.29it/s]
 80% 240/300 [00:01<00:00, 147.13it/s]
 85% 255/300 [00:01<00:00, 146.92it/s]
 90% 270/300 [00:01<00:00, 146.74it/s]
 95% 285/300 [00:01<00:00, 147.20it/s]
100% 300/300 [00:02<00:00, 146.84it/s]
Hyperparameter search:  50% 2/4 [00:04<00:04,  2.16s/it]
  0% 0/300 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
  5% 15/300 [00:00<00:01, 148.76it/s]
 10% 30/300 [00:00<00:01, 148.50it/s]
 15% 45/300 [00:00<00:01, 148.16it/s]
 20% 61/300 [00:00<00:01, 149.50it/s]
 25% 76/300 [00:00<00:01, 148.53it/s]
 31% 92/300 [00:00<00:01, 150.18it/s]
 36% 108/300 [00:00<00:01, 150.27it/s]
 41% 124/300 [00:00<00:01, 150.87it/s]
 47% 140/300 [00:00<00:01, 151.80it/s]
 52% 156/300 [00:01<00:00, 152.58it/s]
 57% 172/300 [00:01<00:00, 153.36it/s]
 63% 188/300 [00:01<00:00, 152.85it/s]
 68% 204/300 [00:01<00:00, 151.20it/s]
 73% 220/300 [00:01<00:00, 151.62it/s]
 79% 236/300 [00:01<00:00, 152.28it/s]
 84% 252/300 [00:01<00:00, 152.05it/s]
 89% 268/300 [00:01<00:00, 152.82it/s]
 95% 284/300 [00:01<00:00, 151.53it/s]
100% 300/300 [00:01<00:00, 151.26it/s]
Hyperparameter search:  75% 3/4 [00:06<00:02,  2.09s/it]
  0% 0/300 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
  5% 16/300 [00:00<00:01, 155.34it/s]
 11% 32/300 [00:00<00:01, 152.16it/s]
 16% 48/300 [00:00<00:01, 152.54it/s]
 22% 65/300 [00:00<00:01, 157.80it/s]
 27% 82/300 [00:00<00:01, 160.60it/s]
 33% 99/300 [00:00<00:01, 162.08it/s]
 39% 116/300 [00:00<00:01, 162.77it/s]
 44% 133/300 [00:00<00:01, 164.12it/s]
 50% 150/300 [00:00<00:00, 164.27it/s]
 56% 167/300 [00:01<00:00, 163.67it/s]
 61% 184/300 [00:01<00:00, 164.99it/s]
 67% 201/300 [00:01<00:00, 164.12it/s]
 73% 218/300 [00:01<00:00, 162.80it/s]
 78% 235/300 [00:01<00:00, 162.72it/s]
 84% 252/300 [00:01<00:00, 163.90it/s]
 90% 269/300 [00:01<00:00, 163.43it/s]
100% 300/300 [00:01<00:00, 162.56it/s]
Hyperparameter search: 100% 4/4 [00:08<00:00,  2.06s/it]
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'lr': 0.05}) 
 with NLL 4.895766
100% 300/300 [00:02<00:00, 120.44it/s]
Starting AusBeerDataset arima
Train length: 125, Val length: 43
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/18 [00:00<?, ?it/s]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:   6% 1/18 [00:03<00:53,  3.12s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  11% 2/18 [00:06<00:50,  3.13s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  17% 3/18 [00:08<00:41,  2.80s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  22% 4/18 [00:26<02:01,  8.69s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  28% 5/18 [00:29<01:25,  6.56s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  33% 6/18 [00:45<01:59,  9.93s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  39% 7/18 [00:48<01:25,  7.75s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  44% 8/18 [00:55<01:13,  7.37s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  50% 9/18 [01:03<01:09,  7.72s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  56% 10/18 [01:21<01:26, 10.83s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  61% 11/18 [01:28<01:07,  9.71s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  67% 12/18 [01:46<01:12, 12.13s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  72% 13/18 [02:04<01:09, 13.94s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  78% 14/18 [02:22<01:00, 15.13s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  83% 15/18 [02:29<00:37, 12.52s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  89% 16/18 [02:31<00:19,  9.52s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  94% 17/18 [02:40<00:09,  9.21s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search: 100% 18/18 [02:46<00:00,  9.27s/it]
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'p': 20, 'd': 1, 'q': 0}) 
 with NLL 4.269833
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Starting AusBeerDataset N-HiTS
Train length: 125, Val length: 43
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]************ Fitting model... ************
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed AusBeerDataset N-HiTS
No supported gpu backend found!
Starting AusBeerDataset TCN
Train length: 125, Val length: 43
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]************ Fitting model... ************
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed AusBeerDataset TCN
No supported gpu backend found!
Starting AusBeerDataset N-BEATS
Train length: 125, Val length: 43
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]************ Fitting model... ************
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed AusBeerDataset N-BEATS
No supported gpu backend found!
Finished AusBeerDataset
Starting GasRateCO2Dataset text-davinci-003
Train length: 176, Val length: 60
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/32 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed GasRateCO2Dataset text-davinci-003
The model `text-davinci-003` has been deprecated, learn more here: https://platform.openai.com/docs/deprecations
Starting GasRateCO2Dataset gpt-4
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'gpt-4', 'alpha': 0.3, 'basic': True, 'temp': 1.0, 'top_p': 0.8, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=', ', bit_sep='', plus_sign='', minus_sign='-', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
100% 1/1 [00:10<00:00, 10.47s/it]
Warning: Prediction too short 30 < 60, padded with last value
Warning: Prediction too short 22 < 60, padded with last value
Starting GasRateCO2Dataset gp
Train length: 176, Val length: 60
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/4 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
  0% 0/300 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
  4% 12/300 [00:00<00:02, 116.46it/s]
  9% 26/300 [00:00<00:02, 124.85it/s]
 13% 39/300 [00:00<00:02, 126.02it/s]
 17% 52/300 [00:00<00:01, 126.12it/s]
 22% 65/300 [00:00<00:01, 123.48it/s]
 26% 78/300 [00:00<00:01, 123.37it/s]
 30% 91/300 [00:00<00:01, 123.98it/s]
 35% 104/300 [00:00<00:01, 124.43it/s]
 39% 117/300 [00:00<00:01, 124.75it/s]
 43% 130/300 [00:01<00:01, 123.34it/s]
 48% 143/300 [00:01<00:01, 123.58it/s]
 52% 156/300 [00:01<00:01, 122.51it/s]
 56% 169/300 [00:01<00:01, 122.22it/s]
 61% 182/300 [00:01<00:00, 119.52it/s]
 65% 194/300 [00:01<00:00, 119.02it/s]
 69% 206/300 [00:01<00:00, 119.16it/s]
 73% 218/300 [00:01<00:00, 119.00it/s]
 77% 230/300 [00:01<00:00, 119.17it/s]
 81% 242/300 [00:01<00:00, 117.85it/s]
 85% 254/300 [00:02<00:00, 117.76it/s]
 89% 266/300 [00:02<00:00, 118.25it/s]
 93% 278/300 [00:02<00:00, 118.09it/s]
100% 300/300 [00:02<00:00, 120.79it/s]
Hyperparameter search:  25% 1/4 [00:02<00:07,  2.50s/it]
  0% 0/300 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
  4% 11/300 [00:00<00:02, 109.87it/s]
  7% 22/300 [00:00<00:02, 109.65it/s]
 11% 34/300 [00:00<00:02, 110.69it/s]
 15% 46/300 [00:00<00:02, 109.73it/s]
 19% 58/300 [00:00<00:02, 110.81it/s]
 23% 70/300 [00:00<00:02, 112.56it/s]
 27% 82/300 [00:00<00:01, 114.19it/s]
 31% 94/300 [00:00<00:01, 115.27it/s]
 35% 106/300 [00:00<00:01, 114.07it/s]
 39% 118/300 [00:01<00:01, 113.86it/s]
 43% 130/300 [00:01<00:01, 114.72it/s]
 47% 142/300 [00:01<00:01, 115.63it/s]
 51% 154/300 [00:01<00:01, 114.69it/s]
 55% 166/300 [00:01<00:01, 114.27it/s]
 59% 178/300 [00:01<00:01, 115.54it/s]
 63% 190/300 [00:01<00:00, 116.73it/s]
 67% 202/300 [00:01<00:00, 116.48it/s]
 71% 214/300 [00:01<00:00, 117.48it/s]
 75% 226/300 [00:01<00:00, 116.41it/s]
 79% 238/300 [00:02<00:00, 115.69it/s]
 83% 250/300 [00:02<00:00, 116.38it/s]
 88% 263/300 [00:02<00:00, 117.82it/s]
 92% 275/300 [00:02<00:00, 118.24it/s]
 96% 287/300 [00:02<00:00, 118.70it/s]
100% 300/300 [00:02<00:00, 115.35it/s]
Hyperparameter search:  50% 2/4 [00:05<00:05,  2.57s/it]
  0% 0/300 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
  4% 12/300 [00:00<00:02, 118.98it/s]
  8% 24/300 [00:00<00:02, 117.55it/s]
 12% 36/300 [00:00<00:02, 116.28it/s]
 16% 48/300 [00:00<00:02, 115.06it/s]
 20% 60/300 [00:00<00:02, 112.31it/s]
 24% 72/300 [00:00<00:02, 111.94it/s]
 28% 84/300 [00:00<00:01, 112.17it/s]
 32% 96/300 [00:00<00:01, 111.40it/s]
 36% 108/300 [00:00<00:01, 112.13it/s]
 40% 120/300 [00:01<00:01, 112.25it/s]
 44% 132/300 [00:01<00:01, 111.25it/s]
 48% 144/300 [00:01<00:01, 111.52it/s]
 52% 156/300 [00:01<00:01, 111.22it/s]
 56% 168/300 [00:01<00:01, 110.56it/s]
 60% 180/300 [00:01<00:01, 106.37it/s]
 64% 191/300 [00:01<00:01, 102.84it/s]
 67% 202/300 [00:01<00:00, 102.76it/s]
 71% 213/300 [00:01<00:00, 104.28it/s]
 75% 225/300 [00:02<00:00, 106.63it/s]
 79% 236/300 [00:02<00:00, 105.12it/s]
 82% 247/300 [00:02<00:00, 103.83it/s]
 86% 258/300 [00:02<00:00, 101.53it/s]
 90% 269/300 [00:02<00:00, 100.77it/s]
 93% 280/300 [00:02<00:00, 100.21it/s]
100% 300/300 [00:02<00:00, 106.89it/s]
Hyperparameter search:  75% 3/4 [00:07<00:02,  2.69s/it]
  0% 0/300 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
  3% 10/300 [00:00<00:02, 98.98it/s]
  7% 20/300 [00:00<00:02, 99.37it/s]
 10% 31/300 [00:00<00:02, 100.43it/s]
 14% 42/300 [00:00<00:02, 102.37it/s]
 18% 53/300 [00:00<00:02, 100.56it/s]
 21% 64/300 [00:00<00:02, 99.55it/s] 
 25% 74/300 [00:00<00:02, 97.80it/s]
 28% 84/300 [00:00<00:02, 97.59it/s]
 32% 95/300 [00:00<00:02, 99.87it/s]
 35% 106/300 [00:01<00:01, 102.35it/s]
 39% 117/300 [00:01<00:01, 102.49it/s]
 43% 128/300 [00:01<00:01, 102.25it/s]
 46% 139/300 [00:01<00:01, 102.21it/s]
 50% 150/300 [00:01<00:01, 100.53it/s]
 54% 161/300 [00:01<00:01, 101.39it/s]
 58% 173/300 [00:01<00:01, 105.75it/s]
 61% 184/300 [00:01<00:01, 106.73it/s]
 65% 196/300 [00:01<00:00, 110.26it/s]
 69% 208/300 [00:02<00:01, 87.35it/s] 
 73% 220/300 [00:02<00:00, 95.00it/s]
 78% 233/300 [00:02<00:00, 101.90it/s]
 82% 245/300 [00:02<00:00, 106.56it/s]
 86% 257/300 [00:02<00:00, 109.74it/s]
 90% 269/300 [00:02<00:00, 111.91it/s]
 94% 281/300 [00:02<00:00, 112.37it/s]
100% 300/300 [00:02<00:00, 103.66it/s]
Hyperparameter search: 100% 4/4 [00:10<00:00,  2.71s/it]
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'lr': 0.1}) 
 with NLL 0.616282
100% 300/300 [00:03<00:00, 89.77it/s]
Starting GasRateCO2Dataset arima
Train length: 176, Val length: 60
Hyperparameter search:  17% 3/18 [00:03<00:13,  1.12it/s]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  28% 5/18 [00:22<01:10,  5.44s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  44% 8/18 [00:44<00:57,  5.74s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  50% 9/18 [00:53<01:02,  6.90s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  61% 11/18 [01:15<00:58,  8.41s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  67% 12/18 [01:32<01:07, 11.30s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  72% 13/18 [01:49<01:04, 12.80s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  89% 16/18 [02:16<00:18,  9.09s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  94% 17/18 [02:23<00:08,  8.57s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search: 100% 18/18 [02:31<00:00,  8.39s/it]
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'p': 12, 'd': 1, 'q': 1}) 
 with NLL 0.976381
Starting GasRateCO2Dataset N-HiTS
Train length: 176, Val length: 60
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]************ Fitting model... ************
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed GasRateCO2Dataset N-HiTS
No supported gpu backend found!
Starting GasRateCO2Dataset TCN
Train length: 176, Val length: 60
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]************ Fitting model... ************
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed GasRateCO2Dataset TCN
No supported gpu backend found!
Starting GasRateCO2Dataset N-BEATS
Train length: 176, Val length: 60
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]************ Fitting model... ************
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed GasRateCO2Dataset N-BEATS
No supported gpu backend found!
Finished GasRateCO2Dataset
Starting MonthlyMilkDataset text-davinci-003
Train length: 100, Val length: 34
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/32 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed MonthlyMilkDataset text-davinci-003
The model `text-davinci-003` has been deprecated, learn more here: https://platform.openai.com/docs/deprecations
Starting MonthlyMilkDataset gpt-4
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'gpt-4', 'alpha': 0.3, 'basic': True, 'temp': 1.0, 'top_p': 0.8, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=', ', bit_sep='', plus_sign='', minus_sign='-', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
100% 1/1 [00:07<00:00,  7.49s/it]
Starting MonthlyMilkDataset gp
Train length: 100, Val length: 34
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/4 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
  0% 0/300 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
  5% 15/300 [00:00<00:01, 143.65it/s]
 10% 31/300 [00:00<00:01, 149.99it/s]
 16% 47/300 [00:00<00:01, 149.31it/s]
 21% 63/300 [00:00<00:01, 149.52it/s]
 26% 79/300 [00:00<00:01, 150.56it/s]
 32% 95/300 [00:00<00:01, 151.48it/s]
 37% 111/300 [00:00<00:01, 152.19it/s]
 42% 127/300 [00:00<00:01, 150.86it/s]
 48% 143/300 [00:00<00:01, 152.29it/s]
 53% 159/300 [00:01<00:00, 152.24it/s]
 58% 175/300 [00:01<00:00, 151.72it/s]
 64% 191/300 [00:01<00:00, 153.30it/s]
 69% 207/300 [00:01<00:00, 153.65it/s]
 74% 223/300 [00:01<00:00, 155.10it/s]
 80% 240/300 [00:01<00:00, 156.78it/s]
 85% 256/300 [00:01<00:00, 156.54it/s]
 91% 272/300 [00:01<00:00, 157.52it/s]
100% 300/300 [00:01<00:00, 154.11it/s]
Hyperparameter search:  25% 1/4 [00:01<00:05,  1.96s/it]
  0% 0/300 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
  6% 17/300 [00:00<00:01, 165.46it/s]
 11% 34/300 [00:00<00:01, 164.62it/s]
 17% 51/300 [00:00<00:01, 162.33it/s]
 23% 68/300 [00:00<00:01, 162.19it/s]
 28% 85/300 [00:00<00:01, 161.48it/s]
 34% 102/300 [00:00<00:01, 160.00it/s]
 40% 119/300 [00:00<00:01, 157.67it/s]
 45% 136/300 [00:00<00:01, 160.24it/s]
 51% 153/300 [00:00<00:00, 161.99it/s]
 57% 170/300 [00:01<00:00, 162.00it/s]
 62% 187/300 [00:01<00:00, 162.42it/s]
 68% 204/300 [00:01<00:00, 160.84it/s]
 74% 221/300 [00:01<00:00, 161.38it/s]
 79% 238/300 [00:01<00:00, 161.01it/s]
 85% 255/300 [00:01<00:00, 161.49it/s]
 91% 272/300 [00:01<00:00, 160.76it/s]
100% 300/300 [00:01<00:00, 161.15it/s]
Hyperparameter search:  50% 2/4 [00:03<00:03,  1.91s/it]
  0% 0/300 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
  5% 16/300 [00:00<00:01, 153.92it/s]
 11% 32/300 [00:00<00:01, 153.74it/s]
 16% 48/300 [00:00<00:01, 152.78it/s]
 21% 64/300 [00:00<00:01, 153.24it/s]
 27% 80/300 [00:00<00:01, 154.80it/s]
 32% 96/300 [00:00<00:01, 153.07it/s]
 37% 112/300 [00:00<00:01, 153.96it/s]
 43% 128/300 [00:00<00:01, 153.47it/s]
 48% 144/300 [00:00<00:01, 153.88it/s]
 53% 160/300 [00:01<00:00, 154.43it/s]
 59% 176/300 [00:01<00:00, 154.32it/s]
 64% 192/300 [00:01<00:00, 152.16it/s]
 69% 208/300 [00:01<00:00, 150.66it/s]
 75% 224/300 [00:01<00:00, 150.03it/s]
 80% 240/300 [00:01<00:00, 150.62it/s]
 86% 257/300 [00:01<00:00, 153.74it/s]
 91% 273/300 [00:01<00:00, 154.72it/s]
100% 300/300 [00:01<00:00, 153.86it/s]
Hyperparameter search:  75% 3/4 [00:05<00:01,  1.94s/it]
  0% 0/300 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
  5% 15/300 [00:00<00:01, 143.59it/s]
 10% 30/300 [00:00<00:01, 143.70it/s]
 15% 45/300 [00:00<00:01, 138.56it/s]
 20% 61/300 [00:00<00:01, 142.94it/s]
 26% 77/300 [00:00<00:01, 147.23it/s]
 31% 93/300 [00:00<00:01, 150.25it/s]
 36% 109/300 [00:00<00:01, 151.60it/s]
 42% 125/300 [00:00<00:01, 152.67it/s]
 47% 141/300 [00:00<00:01, 152.40it/s]
 52% 157/300 [00:01<00:00, 151.89it/s]
 58% 173/300 [00:01<00:00, 147.52it/s]
 63% 188/300 [00:01<00:00, 145.08it/s]
 68% 203/300 [00:01<00:00, 146.22it/s]
 73% 219/300 [00:01<00:00, 147.35it/s]
 78% 234/300 [00:01<00:00, 147.29it/s]
 83% 249/300 [00:01<00:00, 146.30it/s]
 88% 264/300 [00:01<00:00, 146.64it/s]
 93% 280/300 [00:01<00:00, 149.61it/s]
100% 300/300 [00:02<00:00, 148.22it/s]
Hyperparameter search: 100% 4/4 [00:07<00:00,  1.96s/it]
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'lr': 0.1}) 
 with NLL 4.109777
100% 300/300 [00:02<00:00, 134.03it/s]
Starting MonthlyMilkDataset arima
Train length: 100, Val length: 34
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/18 [00:00<?, ?it/s]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:   6% 1/18 [00:02<00:49,  2.92s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  11% 2/18 [00:05<00:42,  2.66s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  17% 3/18 [00:08<00:39,  2.66s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  22% 4/18 [00:25<02:00,  8.58s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  28% 5/18 [00:28<01:26,  6.65s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  33% 6/18 [00:43<01:53,  9.47s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  39% 7/18 [00:46<01:20,  7.31s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  44% 8/18 [00:53<01:11,  7.14s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  50% 9/18 [01:00<01:04,  7.17s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  56% 10/18 [01:17<01:21, 10.18s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  61% 11/18 [01:24<01:04,  9.20s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  67% 12/18 [01:39<01:06, 11.03s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  72% 13/18 [01:58<01:06, 13.21s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  78% 14/18 [02:16<00:59, 14.86s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  83% 15/18 [02:23<00:37, 12.44s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  89% 16/18 [02:26<00:19,  9.71s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  94% 17/18 [02:33<00:08,  8.82s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search: 100% 18/18 [02:40<00:00,  8.89s/it]
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'p': 30, 'd': 1, 'q': 0}) 
 with NLL 3.633912
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Starting MonthlyMilkDataset N-HiTS
Train length: 100, Val length: 34
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]************ Fitting model... ************
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed MonthlyMilkDataset N-HiTS
No supported gpu backend found!
Starting MonthlyMilkDataset TCN
Train length: 100, Val length: 34
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]************ Fitting model... ************
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed MonthlyMilkDataset TCN
No supported gpu backend found!
Starting MonthlyMilkDataset N-BEATS
Train length: 100, Val length: 34
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]************ Fitting model... ************
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed MonthlyMilkDataset N-BEATS
No supported gpu backend found!
Finished MonthlyMilkDataset
Starting SunspotsDataset text-davinci-003
Train length: 423, Val length: 141
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/32 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed SunspotsDataset text-davinci-003
The model `text-davinci-003` has been deprecated, learn more here: https://platform.openai.com/docs/deprecations
Starting SunspotsDataset gpt-4
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'gpt-4', 'alpha': 0.3, 'basic': True, 'temp': 1.0, 'top_p': 0.8, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=', ', bit_sep='', plus_sign='', minus_sign='-', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
  0% 0/1 [00:00<?, ?it/s]Failed SunspotsDataset gpt-4
Request too large for gpt-4 in organization org-q7vdPyqlCyXYcJpFqsdIPV8R on tokens per min (TPM): Limit 10000, Requested 13391. The input or output tokens must be reduced in order to run successfully. Visit https://platform.openai.com/account/rate-limits to learn more.
  0% 0/1 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Starting SunspotsDataset gp
Train length: 423, Val length: 141
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/4 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
  0% 0/300 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
  1% 2/300 [00:00<00:17, 17.28it/s]
  1% 4/300 [00:00<00:16, 18.39it/s]
  2% 7/300 [00:00<00:15, 19.29it/s]
  3% 9/300 [00:00<00:15, 18.85it/s]
  4% 11/300 [00:00<00:15, 19.17it/s]
  4% 13/300 [00:00<00:15, 18.89it/s]
  5% 15/300 [00:00<00:14, 19.12it/s]
  6% 17/300 [00:00<00:14, 19.23it/s]
  6% 19/300 [00:00<00:14, 19.43it/s]
  7% 21/300 [00:01<00:14, 19.31it/s]
  8% 23/300 [00:01<00:14, 18.69it/s]
  8% 25/300 [00:01<00:14, 19.01it/s]
  9% 27/300 [00:01<00:14, 19.01it/s]
 10% 29/300 [00:01<00:14, 18.89it/s]
 10% 31/300 [00:01<00:14, 18.97it/s]
 11% 33/300 [00:01<00:13, 19.19it/s]
 12% 35/300 [00:01<00:13, 19.14it/s]
 12% 37/300 [00:01<00:13, 19.35it/s]
 13% 39/300 [00:02<00:13, 19.51it/s]
 14% 41/300 [00:02<00:13, 19.56it/s]
 14% 43/300 [00:02<00:13, 19.53it/s]
 15% 45/300 [00:02<00:12, 19.62it/s]
 16% 47/300 [00:02<00:13, 19.33it/s]
 16% 49/300 [00:02<00:13, 18.39it/s]
 17% 51/300 [00:02<00:13, 17.91it/s]
 18% 54/300 [00:02<00:13, 18.80it/s]
 19% 57/300 [00:02<00:12, 19.40it/s]
 20% 60/300 [00:03<00:12, 19.55it/s]
 21% 63/300 [00:03<00:11, 19.99it/s]
 22% 66/300 [00:03<00:11, 20.19it/s]
 23% 69/300 [00:03<00:11, 19.96it/s]
 24% 72/300 [00:03<00:11, 19.96it/s]
 25% 74/300 [00:03<00:11, 19.53it/s]
 26% 77/300 [00:03<00:11, 19.75it/s]
 27% 80/300 [00:04<00:11, 19.89it/s]
 27% 82/300 [00:04<00:10, 19.90it/s]
 28% 85/300 [00:04<00:10, 20.16it/s]
 29% 88/300 [00:04<00:10, 19.94it/s]
 30% 90/300 [00:04<00:10, 19.21it/s]
 31% 92/300 [00:04<00:10, 19.37it/s]
 32% 95/300 [00:04<00:10, 19.67it/s]
 33% 98/300 [00:05<00:10, 19.86it/s]
 33% 100/300 [00:05<00:10, 19.63it/s]
 34% 103/300 [00:05<00:09, 19.88it/s]
 35% 105/300 [00:05<00:09, 19.86it/s]
 36% 107/300 [00:05<00:09, 19.59it/s]
 36% 109/300 [00:05<00:09, 19.35it/s]
 37% 112/300 [00:05<00:09, 19.72it/s]
 38% 115/300 [00:05<00:09, 19.90it/s]
 39% 118/300 [00:06<00:09, 20.00it/s]
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 42% 125/300 [00:06<00:08, 19.91it/s]
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 46% 138/300 [00:07<00:08, 19.94it/s]
 47% 140/300 [00:07<00:08, 19.77it/s]
 48% 143/300 [00:07<00:07, 19.95it/s]
 48% 145/300 [00:07<00:07, 19.88it/s]
 49% 148/300 [00:07<00:07, 20.10it/s]
 50% 151/300 [00:07<00:07, 19.90it/s]
 51% 154/300 [00:07<00:07, 19.97it/s]
 52% 156/300 [00:07<00:07, 19.90it/s]
 53% 159/300 [00:08<00:07, 20.07it/s]
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 65% 195/300 [00:10<00:05, 17.55it/s]
 66% 197/300 [00:10<00:05, 17.18it/s]
 66% 199/300 [00:10<00:05, 16.92it/s]
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 68% 205/300 [00:10<00:05, 16.23it/s]
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 73% 219/300 [00:11<00:05, 16.19it/s]
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 75% 225/300 [00:11<00:04, 16.14it/s]
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 76% 229/300 [00:12<00:04, 15.81it/s]
 77% 231/300 [00:12<00:04, 16.25it/s]
 78% 234/300 [00:12<00:03, 17.57it/s]
 79% 237/300 [00:12<00:03, 18.47it/s]
 80% 240/300 [00:12<00:03, 19.04it/s]
 81% 242/300 [00:12<00:03, 19.25it/s]
 82% 245/300 [00:12<00:02, 19.64it/s]
 82% 247/300 [00:13<00:02, 19.66it/s]
 83% 250/300 [00:13<00:02, 19.85it/s]
 84% 252/300 [00:13<00:02, 16.36it/s]
 85% 255/300 [00:13<00:02, 17.54it/s]
 86% 258/300 [00:13<00:02, 18.47it/s]
 87% 261/300 [00:13<00:02, 18.80it/s]
 88% 264/300 [00:13<00:01, 19.37it/s]
 89% 267/300 [00:14<00:01, 19.58it/s]
 90% 270/300 [00:14<00:01, 19.90it/s]
 91% 273/300 [00:14<00:01, 19.97it/s]
 92% 276/300 [00:14<00:01, 20.15it/s]
 93% 279/300 [00:14<00:01, 20.21it/s]
 94% 282/300 [00:14<00:00, 20.03it/s]
 95% 285/300 [00:15<00:00, 20.12it/s]
 96% 288/300 [00:15<00:00, 20.09it/s]
 97% 291/300 [00:15<00:00, 20.09it/s]
 98% 294/300 [00:15<00:00, 20.07it/s]
 99% 297/300 [00:15<00:00, 20.17it/s]
100% 300/300 [00:15<00:00, 19.04it/s]
Hyperparameter search:  25% 1/4 [00:15<00:47, 15.80s/it]
  0% 0/300 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
  1% 2/300 [00:00<00:15, 19.08it/s]
  2% 5/300 [00:00<00:14, 19.92it/s]
  3% 8/300 [00:00<00:14, 20.22it/s]
  4% 11/300 [00:00<00:14, 20.04it/s]
  5% 14/300 [00:00<00:14, 20.19it/s]
  6% 17/300 [00:00<00:14, 19.28it/s]
  6% 19/300 [00:00<00:14, 19.44it/s]
  7% 22/300 [00:01<00:14, 19.34it/s]
  8% 25/300 [00:01<00:14, 19.61it/s]
  9% 27/300 [00:01<00:13, 19.53it/s]
 10% 29/300 [00:01<00:13, 19.58it/s]
 11% 32/300 [00:01<00:13, 19.64it/s]
 12% 35/300 [00:01<00:13, 19.81it/s]
 13% 38/300 [00:01<00:13, 19.83it/s]
 14% 41/300 [00:02<00:12, 19.92it/s]
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 17% 51/300 [00:02<00:12, 19.75it/s]
 18% 53/300 [00:02<00:12, 19.72it/s]
 18% 55/300 [00:02<00:12, 19.65it/s]
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 20% 59/300 [00:02<00:12, 19.57it/s]
 21% 62/300 [00:03<00:12, 19.54it/s]
 21% 64/300 [00:03<00:12, 19.55it/s]
 22% 66/300 [00:03<00:11, 19.59it/s]
 23% 68/300 [00:03<00:11, 19.56it/s]
 24% 71/300 [00:03<00:11, 19.83it/s]
 24% 73/300 [00:03<00:11, 19.75it/s]
 25% 75/300 [00:03<00:11, 19.72it/s]
 26% 77/300 [00:03<00:11, 19.66it/s]
 27% 80/300 [00:04<00:11, 19.71it/s]
 28% 83/300 [00:04<00:11, 19.57it/s]
 28% 85/300 [00:04<00:10, 19.60it/s]
 29% 87/300 [00:04<00:10, 19.53it/s]
 30% 90/300 [00:04<00:10, 19.61it/s]
 31% 92/300 [00:04<00:10, 19.67it/s]
 31% 94/300 [00:04<00:10, 19.71it/s]
 32% 96/300 [00:04<00:10, 19.62it/s]
 33% 99/300 [00:05<00:10, 19.91it/s]
 34% 101/300 [00:05<00:10, 19.89it/s]
 34% 103/300 [00:05<00:09, 19.84it/s]
 35% 105/300 [00:05<00:09, 19.71it/s]
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 46% 138/300 [00:07<00:09, 16.40it/s]
 47% 140/300 [00:07<00:09, 16.19it/s]
 47% 142/300 [00:07<00:09, 16.12it/s]
 48% 144/300 [00:07<00:09, 16.05it/s]
 49% 146/300 [00:07<00:09, 15.98it/s]
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 50% 150/300 [00:07<00:09, 15.88it/s]
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 51% 154/300 [00:08<00:09, 15.89it/s]
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 57% 171/300 [00:09<00:07, 17.61it/s]
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 59% 176/300 [00:09<00:06, 18.61it/s]
 60% 179/300 [00:09<00:06, 19.41it/s]
 61% 182/300 [00:09<00:05, 19.91it/s]
 62% 185/300 [00:09<00:05, 20.20it/s]
 63% 188/300 [00:09<00:05, 20.34it/s]
 64% 191/300 [00:10<00:05, 20.53it/s]
 65% 194/300 [00:10<00:05, 20.75it/s]
 66% 197/300 [00:10<00:05, 20.50it/s]
 67% 200/300 [00:10<00:04, 20.37it/s]
 68% 203/300 [00:10<00:04, 20.30it/s]
 69% 206/300 [00:10<00:04, 20.07it/s]
 70% 209/300 [00:11<00:04, 20.09it/s]
 71% 212/300 [00:11<00:04, 20.33it/s]
 72% 215/300 [00:11<00:04, 20.42it/s]
 73% 218/300 [00:11<00:04, 20.27it/s]
 74% 221/300 [00:11<00:03, 20.33it/s]
 75% 224/300 [00:11<00:03, 20.49it/s]
 76% 227/300 [00:11<00:03, 20.60it/s]
 77% 230/300 [00:12<00:03, 20.61it/s]
 78% 233/300 [00:12<00:03, 20.76it/s]
 79% 236/300 [00:12<00:03, 20.54it/s]
 80% 239/300 [00:12<00:02, 20.41it/s]
 81% 242/300 [00:12<00:02, 20.63it/s]
 82% 245/300 [00:12<00:02, 20.52it/s]
 83% 248/300 [00:12<00:02, 20.53it/s]
 84% 251/300 [00:13<00:02, 20.42it/s]
 85% 254/300 [00:13<00:02, 20.50it/s]
 86% 257/300 [00:13<00:02, 20.40it/s]
 87% 260/300 [00:13<00:01, 20.40it/s]
 88% 263/300 [00:13<00:01, 20.39it/s]
 89% 266/300 [00:13<00:01, 20.51it/s]
 90% 269/300 [00:13<00:01, 20.34it/s]
 91% 272/300 [00:14<00:01, 20.40it/s]
 92% 275/300 [00:14<00:01, 20.29it/s]
 93% 278/300 [00:14<00:01, 20.32it/s]
 94% 281/300 [00:14<00:00, 19.93it/s]
 95% 284/300 [00:14<00:00, 20.09it/s]
 96% 287/300 [00:14<00:00, 19.92it/s]
 97% 290/300 [00:14<00:00, 20.14it/s]
 98% 293/300 [00:15<00:00, 20.19it/s]
 99% 296/300 [00:15<00:00, 20.36it/s]
100% 300/300 [00:15<00:00, 19.37it/s]
Hyperparameter search:  50% 2/4 [00:31<00:31, 15.65s/it]
  0% 0/300 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
  1% 2/300 [00:00<00:15, 19.11it/s]
  1% 4/300 [00:00<00:15, 18.73it/s]
  2% 6/300 [00:00<00:15, 19.01it/s]
  3% 8/300 [00:00<00:15, 18.86it/s]
  3% 10/300 [00:00<00:15, 18.98it/s]
  4% 12/300 [00:00<00:15, 18.93it/s]
  5% 14/300 [00:00<00:14, 19.15it/s]
  5% 16/300 [00:00<00:15, 18.74it/s]
  6% 18/300 [00:00<00:14, 18.93it/s]
  7% 20/300 [00:01<00:15, 18.24it/s]
  7% 22/300 [00:01<00:14, 18.68it/s]
  8% 24/300 [00:01<00:14, 18.78it/s]
  9% 26/300 [00:01<00:14, 18.86it/s]
  9% 28/300 [00:01<00:14, 18.76it/s]
 10% 30/300 [00:01<00:14, 18.84it/s]
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Hyperparameter search:  75% 3/4 [00:47<00:15, 15.95s/it]
  0% 0/300 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
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 99% 297/300 [00:15<00:00, 18.74it/s]
100% 300/300 [00:15<00:00, 19.78it/s]
Hyperparameter search: 100% 4/4 [01:02<00:00, 15.72s/it]
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'lr': 0.05}) 
 with NLL 4.219749
100% 300/300 [00:14<00:00, 20.44it/s]
Starting SunspotsDataset arima
Train length: 423, Val length: 141
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/18 [00:00<?, ?it/s]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  17% 3/18 [00:09<00:41,  2.77s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  22% 4/18 [00:35<02:47, 11.93s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  33% 6/18 [00:58<02:30, 12.52s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  44% 8/18 [01:09<01:27,  8.74s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  50% 9/18 [01:22<01:31, 10.12s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  56% 10/18 [01:52<02:10, 16.28s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  67% 12/18 [02:28<01:45, 17.60s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  72% 13/18 [02:56<01:42, 20.57s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  78% 14/18 [03:22<01:29, 22.31s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  83% 15/18 [03:34<00:57, 19.10s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  89% 16/18 [03:39<00:29, 14.83s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search: 100% 18/18 [03:56<00:00, 13.16s/it]
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'p': 30, 'd': 1, 'q': 2}) 
 with NLL 4.178512
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Starting SunspotsDataset N-HiTS
Train length: 423, Val length: 141
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]************ Fitting model... ************
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed SunspotsDataset N-HiTS
No supported gpu backend found!
Starting SunspotsDataset TCN
Train length: 423, Val length: 141
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]************ Fitting model... ************
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed SunspotsDataset TCN
No supported gpu backend found!
Starting SunspotsDataset N-BEATS
Train length: 423, Val length: 141
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]************ Fitting model... ************
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed SunspotsDataset N-BEATS
No supported gpu backend found!
Finished SunspotsDataset
Starting WineDataset text-davinci-003
Train length: 104, Val length: 36
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/32 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed WineDataset text-davinci-003
The model `text-davinci-003` has been deprecated, learn more here: https://platform.openai.com/docs/deprecations
Starting WineDataset gpt-4
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'gpt-4', 'alpha': 0.3, 'basic': True, 'temp': 1.0, 'top_p': 0.8, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=', ', bit_sep='', plus_sign='', minus_sign='-', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
100% 1/1 [00:05<00:00,  5.68s/it]
Warning: Prediction too short 19 < 36, padded with last value
Starting WineDataset gp
Train length: 104, Val length: 36
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/4 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
  0% 0/300 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
  4% 12/300 [00:00<00:02, 118.46it/s]
  9% 26/300 [00:00<00:02, 130.71it/s]
 13% 40/300 [00:00<00:01, 134.30it/s]
 18% 54/300 [00:00<00:01, 134.02it/s]
 23% 68/300 [00:00<00:01, 134.69it/s]
 27% 82/300 [00:00<00:01, 131.25it/s]
 32% 96/300 [00:00<00:01, 133.82it/s]
 37% 112/300 [00:00<00:01, 141.18it/s]
 43% 128/300 [00:00<00:01, 146.49it/s]
 48% 144/300 [00:01<00:01, 147.81it/s]
 53% 160/300 [00:01<00:00, 150.68it/s]
 59% 176/300 [00:01<00:00, 151.34it/s]
 64% 192/300 [00:01<00:00, 152.80it/s]
 69% 208/300 [00:01<00:00, 154.02it/s]
 75% 224/300 [00:01<00:00, 153.13it/s]
 80% 241/300 [00:01<00:00, 155.30it/s]
 86% 257/300 [00:01<00:00, 154.72it/s]
 91% 274/300 [00:01<00:00, 156.52it/s]
100% 300/300 [00:02<00:00, 147.60it/s]
Hyperparameter search:  25% 1/4 [00:02<00:06,  2.05s/it]
  0% 0/300 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
  5% 15/300 [00:00<00:01, 146.64it/s]
 10% 31/300 [00:00<00:01, 151.97it/s]
 16% 47/300 [00:00<00:01, 150.25it/s]
 21% 63/300 [00:00<00:01, 151.22it/s]
 26% 79/300 [00:00<00:01, 151.28it/s]
 32% 95/300 [00:00<00:01, 151.00it/s]
 37% 111/300 [00:00<00:01, 152.19it/s]
 42% 127/300 [00:00<00:01, 152.01it/s]
 48% 143/300 [00:00<00:01, 153.12it/s]
 53% 159/300 [00:01<00:00, 153.27it/s]
 58% 175/300 [00:01<00:00, 153.98it/s]
 64% 191/300 [00:01<00:00, 153.85it/s]
 69% 207/300 [00:01<00:00, 153.01it/s]
 74% 223/300 [00:01<00:00, 154.73it/s]
 80% 239/300 [00:01<00:00, 153.45it/s]
 85% 256/300 [00:01<00:00, 156.00it/s]
 91% 273/300 [00:01<00:00, 157.94it/s]
100% 300/300 [00:01<00:00, 154.54it/s]
Hyperparameter search:  50% 2/4 [00:04<00:03,  2.00s/it]
  0% 0/300 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
  5% 16/300 [00:00<00:01, 158.20it/s]
 11% 32/300 [00:00<00:01, 157.87it/s]
 16% 48/300 [00:00<00:01, 158.83it/s]
 21% 64/300 [00:00<00:01, 156.59it/s]
 27% 81/300 [00:00<00:01, 159.48it/s]
 32% 97/300 [00:00<00:01, 157.05it/s]
 38% 113/300 [00:00<00:01, 157.63it/s]
 43% 130/300 [00:00<00:01, 158.73it/s]
 49% 147/300 [00:00<00:00, 159.11it/s]
 55% 164/300 [00:01<00:00, 159.92it/s]
 60% 181/300 [00:01<00:00, 161.05it/s]
 66% 198/300 [00:01<00:00, 161.23it/s]
 72% 215/300 [00:01<00:00, 160.52it/s]
 77% 232/300 [00:01<00:00, 161.50it/s]
 83% 249/300 [00:01<00:00, 162.02it/s]
 89% 266/300 [00:01<00:00, 157.58it/s]
 94% 283/300 [00:01<00:00, 159.11it/s]
100% 300/300 [00:01<00:00, 159.47it/s]
Hyperparameter search:  75% 3/4 [00:05<00:01,  1.95s/it]
  0% 0/300 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
  6% 17/300 [00:00<00:01, 162.49it/s]
 11% 34/300 [00:00<00:01, 158.12it/s]
 17% 51/300 [00:00<00:01, 159.55it/s]
 22% 67/300 [00:00<00:01, 157.76it/s]
 28% 83/300 [00:00<00:01, 154.64it/s]
 33% 100/300 [00:00<00:01, 156.51it/s]
 39% 116/300 [00:00<00:01, 155.90it/s]
 44% 132/300 [00:00<00:01, 157.02it/s]
 49% 148/300 [00:00<00:00, 154.59it/s]
 55% 164/300 [00:01<00:00, 155.64it/s]
 60% 180/300 [00:01<00:00, 156.56it/s]
 65% 196/300 [00:01<00:00, 156.91it/s]
 71% 212/300 [00:01<00:00, 156.52it/s]
 76% 228/300 [00:01<00:00, 156.50it/s]
 81% 244/300 [00:01<00:00, 157.01it/s]
 87% 261/300 [00:01<00:00, 157.87it/s]
 92% 277/300 [00:01<00:00, 155.06it/s]
100% 300/300 [00:01<00:00, 156.62it/s]
Hyperparameter search: 100% 4/4 [00:07<00:00,  1.96s/it]
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'lr': 0.05}) 
 with NLL 9.780612
100% 300/300 [00:02<00:00, 129.80it/s]
Starting WineDataset arima
Train length: 104, Val length: 36
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/18 [00:00<?, ?it/s]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:   6% 1/18 [00:03<00:58,  3.45s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  11% 2/18 [00:05<00:44,  2.76s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  17% 3/18 [00:07<00:35,  2.39s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  22% 4/18 [00:23<01:48,  7.76s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  28% 5/18 [00:26<01:18,  6.02s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  33% 6/18 [00:40<01:44,  8.71s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  39% 7/18 [00:43<01:14,  6.79s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  44% 8/18 [00:50<01:07,  6.79s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  50% 9/18 [00:57<01:03,  7.02s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  56% 10/18 [01:13<01:18,  9.78s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  61% 11/18 [01:21<01:04,  9.28s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  67% 12/18 [01:35<01:03, 10.66s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  72% 13/18 [01:54<01:05, 13.04s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  78% 14/18 [02:10<00:55, 13.91s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  83% 15/18 [02:16<00:35, 11.70s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  89% 16/18 [02:19<00:18,  9.19s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  94% 17/18 [02:26<00:08,  8.44s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search: 100% 18/18 [02:32<00:00,  8.49s/it]
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'p': 12, 'd': 1, 'q': 0}) 
 with NLL 9.780453
Starting WineDataset N-HiTS
Train length: 104, Val length: 36
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]************ Fitting model... ************
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed WineDataset N-HiTS
No supported gpu backend found!
Starting WineDataset TCN
Train length: 104, Val length: 36
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]************ Fitting model... ************
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed WineDataset TCN
No supported gpu backend found!
Starting WineDataset N-BEATS
Train length: 104, Val length: 36
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]************ Fitting model... ************
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed WineDataset N-BEATS
No supported gpu backend found!
Finished WineDataset
Starting WoolyDataset text-davinci-003
Train length: 71, Val length: 24
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/32 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed WoolyDataset text-davinci-003
The model `text-davinci-003` has been deprecated, learn more here: https://platform.openai.com/docs/deprecations
Starting WoolyDataset gpt-4
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'gpt-4', 'alpha': 0.3, 'basic': True, 'temp': 1.0, 'top_p': 0.8, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=', ', bit_sep='', plus_sign='', minus_sign='-', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
100% 1/1 [00:05<00:00,  5.16s/it]
Warning: Prediction too short 20 < 24, padded with last value
Starting WoolyDataset gp
Train length: 71, Val length: 24
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/4 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
  0% 0/300 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
  5% 15/300 [00:00<00:01, 147.59it/s]
 11% 32/300 [00:00<00:01, 159.32it/s]
 16% 49/300 [00:00<00:01, 161.02it/s]
 22% 66/300 [00:00<00:01, 161.50it/s]
 28% 84/300 [00:00<00:01, 164.95it/s]
 34% 101/300 [00:00<00:01, 164.76it/s]
 40% 119/300 [00:00<00:01, 167.03it/s]
 45% 136/300 [00:00<00:00, 166.11it/s]
 51% 154/300 [00:00<00:00, 167.63it/s]
 57% 172/300 [00:01<00:00, 169.00it/s]
 63% 189/300 [00:01<00:00, 167.14it/s]
 69% 207/300 [00:01<00:00, 168.40it/s]
 75% 224/300 [00:01<00:00, 168.54it/s]
 80% 241/300 [00:01<00:00, 167.63it/s]
 86% 258/300 [00:01<00:00, 168.18it/s]
 92% 275/300 [00:01<00:00, 167.40it/s]
100% 300/300 [00:01<00:00, 165.56it/s]
Hyperparameter search:  25% 1/4 [00:01<00:05,  1.83s/it]
  0% 0/300 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
  6% 17/300 [00:00<00:01, 162.07it/s]
 11% 34/300 [00:00<00:01, 160.24it/s]
 17% 51/300 [00:00<00:01, 158.25it/s]
 22% 67/300 [00:00<00:01, 157.66it/s]
 28% 84/300 [00:00<00:01, 159.23it/s]
 34% 101/300 [00:00<00:01, 160.53it/s]
 39% 118/300 [00:00<00:01, 161.79it/s]
 45% 135/300 [00:00<00:01, 163.20it/s]
 51% 152/300 [00:00<00:00, 164.16it/s]
 56% 169/300 [00:01<00:00, 159.91it/s]
 62% 186/300 [00:01<00:00, 161.64it/s]
 68% 203/300 [00:01<00:00, 162.94it/s]
 73% 220/300 [00:01<00:00, 162.08it/s]
 79% 237/300 [00:01<00:00, 160.89it/s]
 85% 254/300 [00:01<00:00, 160.22it/s]
 90% 271/300 [00:01<00:00, 161.25it/s]
100% 300/300 [00:01<00:00, 161.00it/s]
Hyperparameter search:  50% 2/4 [00:03<00:03,  1.86s/it]
  0% 0/300 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
  6% 17/300 [00:00<00:01, 164.79it/s]
 11% 34/300 [00:00<00:01, 163.27it/s]
 17% 51/300 [00:00<00:01, 165.33it/s]
 23% 68/300 [00:00<00:01, 164.41it/s]
 28% 85/300 [00:00<00:01, 164.69it/s]
 34% 102/300 [00:00<00:01, 164.64it/s]
 40% 119/300 [00:00<00:01, 162.37it/s]
 45% 136/300 [00:00<00:01, 160.92it/s]
 51% 153/300 [00:00<00:00, 161.34it/s]
 57% 170/300 [00:01<00:00, 162.19it/s]
 62% 187/300 [00:01<00:00, 159.08it/s]
 68% 203/300 [00:01<00:00, 152.89it/s]
 73% 219/300 [00:01<00:00, 146.54it/s]
 78% 234/300 [00:01<00:00, 138.65it/s]
 83% 248/300 [00:01<00:00, 134.10it/s]
 87% 262/300 [00:01<00:00, 131.06it/s]
 93% 279/300 [00:01<00:00, 139.82it/s]
100% 300/300 [00:01<00:00, 152.41it/s]
Hyperparameter search:  75% 3/4 [00:05<00:01,  1.92s/it]
  0% 0/300 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
  5% 16/300 [00:00<00:01, 154.72it/s]
 11% 32/300 [00:00<00:01, 154.47it/s]
 16% 48/300 [00:00<00:01, 149.53it/s]
 22% 65/300 [00:00<00:01, 156.77it/s]
 27% 82/300 [00:00<00:01, 160.15it/s]
 33% 99/300 [00:00<00:01, 162.31it/s]
 39% 116/300 [00:00<00:01, 162.23it/s]
 45% 134/300 [00:00<00:01, 165.34it/s]
 51% 152/300 [00:00<00:00, 167.86it/s]
 56% 169/300 [00:01<00:00, 165.51it/s]
 62% 186/300 [00:01<00:00, 164.41it/s]
 68% 203/300 [00:01<00:00, 159.89it/s]
 73% 220/300 [00:01<00:00, 156.91it/s]
 79% 236/300 [00:01<00:00, 156.93it/s]
 84% 252/300 [00:01<00:00, 145.48it/s]
 89% 267/300 [00:01<00:00, 139.13it/s]
 94% 282/300 [00:01<00:00, 135.56it/s]
100% 300/300 [00:01<00:00, 151.94it/s]
Hyperparameter search: 100% 4/4 [00:07<00:00,  1.92s/it]
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'lr': 0.1}) 
 with NLL 7.283720
100% 300/300 [00:01<00:00, 157.55it/s]
Starting WoolyDataset arima
Train length: 71, Val length: 24
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/18 [00:00<?, ?it/s]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  17% 3/18 [00:05<00:27,  1.84s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  22% 4/18 [00:20<01:38,  7.02s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  28% 5/18 [00:22<01:08,  5.27s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  33% 6/18 [00:37<01:40,  8.37s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  39% 7/18 [00:39<01:10,  6.45s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  44% 8/18 [00:44<01:00,  6.01s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  50% 9/18 [00:49<00:51,  5.70s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  56% 10/18 [01:04<01:08,  8.50s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  61% 11/18 [01:10<00:54,  7.81s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  67% 12/18 [01:23<00:56,  9.37s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  72% 13/18 [01:37<00:53, 10.61s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  78% 14/18 [01:51<00:46, 11.61s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  83% 15/18 [01:56<00:28,  9.64s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  89% 16/18 [01:58<00:14,  7.41s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  94% 17/18 [02:03<00:06,  6.84s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search: 100% 18/18 [02:08<00:00,  7.14s/it]
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'p': 20, 'd': 1, 'q': 0}) 
 with NLL 7.274960
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Starting WoolyDataset N-HiTS
Train length: 71, Val length: 24
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]************ Fitting model... ************
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed WoolyDataset N-HiTS
No supported gpu backend found!
Starting WoolyDataset TCN
Train length: 71, Val length: 24
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]************ Fitting model... ************
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed WoolyDataset TCN
No supported gpu backend found!
Starting WoolyDataset N-BEATS
Train length: 71, Val length: 24
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]************ Fitting model... ************
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed WoolyDataset N-BEATS
No supported gpu backend found!
Finished WoolyDataset
Starting HeartRateDataset text-davinci-003
Train length: 540, Val length: 180
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/32 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed HeartRateDataset text-davinci-003
The model `text-davinci-003` has been deprecated, learn more here: https://platform.openai.com/docs/deprecations
Starting HeartRateDataset gpt-4
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'gpt-4', 'alpha': 0.3, 'basic': True, 'temp': 1.0, 'top_p': 0.8, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=', ', bit_sep='', plus_sign='', minus_sign='-', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
  0% 0/1 [00:00<?, ?it/s]Failed HeartRateDataset gpt-4
Request too large for gpt-4 in organization org-q7vdPyqlCyXYcJpFqsdIPV8R on tokens per min (TPM): Limit 10000, Requested 17086. The input or output tokens must be reduced in order to run successfully. Visit https://platform.openai.com/account/rate-limits to learn more.
  0% 0/1 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Starting HeartRateDataset gp
Train length: 540, Val length: 180
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/4 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
  0% 0/300 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
  1% 2/300 [00:00<00:19, 15.27it/s]
  1% 4/300 [00:00<00:19, 15.12it/s]
  2% 6/300 [00:00<00:19, 14.88it/s]
  3% 9/300 [00:00<00:16, 17.41it/s]
  4% 12/300 [00:00<00:15, 18.67it/s]
  5% 15/300 [00:00<00:14, 19.41it/s]
  6% 18/300 [00:00<00:14, 19.97it/s]
  7% 20/300 [00:01<00:14, 19.76it/s]
  8% 23/300 [00:01<00:13, 20.17it/s]
  9% 26/300 [00:01<00:13, 19.91it/s]
 10% 29/300 [00:01<00:13, 20.07it/s]
 11% 32/300 [00:01<00:13, 20.40it/s]
 12% 35/300 [00:01<00:12, 20.49it/s]
 13% 38/300 [00:01<00:12, 20.53it/s]
 14% 41/300 [00:02<00:12, 20.35it/s]
 15% 44/300 [00:02<00:12, 20.43it/s]
 16% 47/300 [00:02<00:13, 19.18it/s]
 16% 49/300 [00:02<00:13, 19.24it/s]
 17% 51/300 [00:02<00:12, 19.38it/s]
 18% 54/300 [00:02<00:12, 19.82it/s]
 19% 57/300 [00:02<00:11, 20.26it/s]
 20% 60/300 [00:03<00:11, 20.58it/s]
 21% 63/300 [00:03<00:11, 20.89it/s]
 22% 66/300 [00:03<00:12, 19.01it/s]
 23% 68/300 [00:03<00:12, 18.97it/s]
 24% 71/300 [00:03<00:11, 19.66it/s]
 25% 74/300 [00:03<00:11, 20.04it/s]
 26% 77/300 [00:03<00:10, 20.43it/s]
 27% 80/300 [00:04<00:11, 19.98it/s]
 28% 83/300 [00:04<00:11, 19.40it/s]
 29% 86/300 [00:04<00:10, 19.95it/s]
 30% 89/300 [00:04<00:10, 19.43it/s]
 30% 91/300 [00:04<00:11, 18.97it/s]
 31% 94/300 [00:04<00:10, 19.48it/s]
 32% 97/300 [00:04<00:10, 19.85it/s]
 33% 100/300 [00:05<00:09, 20.22it/s]
 34% 103/300 [00:05<00:09, 20.36it/s]
 35% 106/300 [00:05<00:09, 20.56it/s]
 36% 109/300 [00:05<00:09, 20.54it/s]
 37% 112/300 [00:05<00:09, 20.70it/s]
 38% 115/300 [00:05<00:08, 21.07it/s]
 39% 118/300 [00:05<00:08, 20.83it/s]
 40% 121/300 [00:06<00:08, 20.66it/s]
 41% 124/300 [00:06<00:08, 20.56it/s]
 42% 127/300 [00:06<00:08, 19.53it/s]
 43% 130/300 [00:06<00:08, 20.01it/s]
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 45% 136/300 [00:06<00:08, 20.05it/s]
 46% 139/300 [00:07<00:07, 20.39it/s]
 47% 142/300 [00:07<00:07, 20.36it/s]
 48% 145/300 [00:07<00:07, 20.56it/s]
 49% 148/300 [00:07<00:07, 20.82it/s]
 50% 151/300 [00:07<00:07, 20.79it/s]
 51% 154/300 [00:07<00:06, 20.87it/s]
 52% 157/300 [00:07<00:06, 21.15it/s]
 53% 160/300 [00:07<00:06, 21.27it/s]
 54% 163/300 [00:08<00:06, 21.26it/s]
 55% 166/300 [00:08<00:06, 21.31it/s]
 56% 169/300 [00:08<00:06, 21.22it/s]
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 58% 175/300 [00:08<00:05, 21.03it/s]
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 69% 208/300 [00:10<00:05, 17.36it/s]
 70% 210/300 [00:10<00:05, 17.39it/s]
 71% 212/300 [00:10<00:04, 17.64it/s]
 71% 214/300 [00:10<00:05, 17.20it/s]
 72% 216/300 [00:11<00:04, 16.86it/s]
 73% 218/300 [00:11<00:04, 16.63it/s]
 73% 220/300 [00:11<00:04, 16.18it/s]
 74% 222/300 [00:11<00:05, 15.43it/s]
 75% 224/300 [00:11<00:05, 14.95it/s]
 75% 226/300 [00:11<00:05, 14.66it/s]
 76% 228/300 [00:11<00:04, 14.99it/s]
 77% 230/300 [00:11<00:04, 15.24it/s]
 77% 232/300 [00:12<00:04, 16.10it/s]
 78% 234/300 [00:12<00:03, 16.87it/s]
 79% 237/300 [00:12<00:03, 18.24it/s]
 80% 240/300 [00:12<00:03, 19.14it/s]
 81% 243/300 [00:12<00:02, 19.98it/s]
 82% 246/300 [00:12<00:02, 20.32it/s]
 83% 249/300 [00:12<00:02, 20.79it/s]
 84% 252/300 [00:13<00:02, 21.00it/s]
 85% 255/300 [00:13<00:02, 21.12it/s]
 86% 258/300 [00:13<00:01, 21.18it/s]
 87% 261/300 [00:13<00:01, 20.89it/s]
 88% 264/300 [00:13<00:01, 21.02it/s]
 89% 267/300 [00:13<00:01, 20.92it/s]
 90% 270/300 [00:13<00:01, 21.01it/s]
 91% 273/300 [00:13<00:01, 21.26it/s]
 92% 276/300 [00:14<00:01, 21.38it/s]
 93% 279/300 [00:14<00:00, 21.20it/s]
 94% 282/300 [00:14<00:00, 21.14it/s]
 95% 285/300 [00:14<00:00, 21.21it/s]
 96% 288/300 [00:14<00:00, 21.26it/s]
 97% 291/300 [00:14<00:00, 20.97it/s]
 98% 294/300 [00:14<00:00, 20.64it/s]
 99% 297/300 [00:15<00:00, 20.71it/s]
100% 300/300 [00:15<00:00, 19.63it/s]
Hyperparameter search:  25% 1/4 [00:15<00:46, 15.35s/it]
  0% 0/300 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
  1% 2/300 [00:00<00:17, 17.53it/s]
  2% 5/300 [00:00<00:15, 19.14it/s]
  3% 8/300 [00:00<00:14, 20.19it/s]
  4% 11/300 [00:00<00:13, 21.95it/s]
  5% 14/300 [00:00<00:12, 22.75it/s]
  6% 17/300 [00:00<00:12, 22.31it/s]
  7% 20/300 [00:00<00:12, 22.31it/s]
  8% 23/300 [00:01<00:11, 23.47it/s]
  9% 26/300 [00:01<00:12, 22.71it/s]
 10% 29/300 [00:01<00:11, 23.21it/s]
 11% 32/300 [00:01<00:11, 24.01it/s]
 12% 35/300 [00:01<00:11, 22.91it/s]
 13% 38/300 [00:01<00:10, 23.82it/s]
 14% 41/300 [00:01<00:10, 24.09it/s]
 15% 44/300 [00:01<00:10, 24.52it/s]
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 18% 53/300 [00:02<00:10, 22.85it/s]
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 22% 65/300 [00:02<00:09, 24.55it/s]
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 34% 101/300 [00:04<00:08, 24.73it/s]
 35% 104/300 [00:04<00:07, 24.92it/s]
 36% 107/300 [00:04<00:07, 24.82it/s]
 37% 110/300 [00:04<00:07, 24.38it/s]
 38% 113/300 [00:04<00:07, 24.41it/s]
 39% 116/300 [00:04<00:07, 24.74it/s]
 40% 119/300 [00:05<00:07, 24.93it/s]
 41% 122/300 [00:05<00:07, 24.61it/s]
 42% 125/300 [00:05<00:06, 25.05it/s]
 43% 128/300 [00:05<00:06, 24.96it/s]
 44% 131/300 [00:05<00:06, 25.22it/s]
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 47% 140/300 [00:05<00:06, 24.50it/s]
 48% 143/300 [00:05<00:06, 24.77it/s]
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 57% 170/300 [00:07<00:05, 22.09it/s]
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 59% 176/300 [00:07<00:05, 20.94it/s]
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 68% 205/300 [00:08<00:04, 19.73it/s]
 69% 208/300 [00:09<00:04, 20.22it/s]
 70% 211/300 [00:09<00:04, 20.35it/s]
 71% 214/300 [00:09<00:04, 20.19it/s]
 72% 217/300 [00:09<00:04, 20.49it/s]
 73% 220/300 [00:09<00:03, 20.69it/s]
 74% 223/300 [00:09<00:03, 21.54it/s]
 75% 226/300 [00:09<00:03, 21.93it/s]
 76% 229/300 [00:09<00:03, 22.84it/s]
 77% 232/300 [00:10<00:02, 23.44it/s]
 78% 235/300 [00:10<00:02, 23.78it/s]
 79% 238/300 [00:10<00:02, 24.44it/s]
 80% 241/300 [00:10<00:02, 23.44it/s]
 81% 244/300 [00:10<00:02, 23.69it/s]
 82% 247/300 [00:10<00:02, 23.93it/s]
 83% 250/300 [00:10<00:02, 24.53it/s]
 84% 253/300 [00:10<00:01, 24.57it/s]
 85% 256/300 [00:11<00:01, 24.91it/s]
 86% 259/300 [00:11<00:01, 24.97it/s]
 87% 262/300 [00:11<00:01, 24.78it/s]
 88% 265/300 [00:11<00:01, 24.78it/s]
 89% 268/300 [00:11<00:01, 24.99it/s]
 90% 271/300 [00:11<00:01, 25.29it/s]
 91% 274/300 [00:11<00:01, 25.06it/s]
 92% 277/300 [00:11<00:00, 25.24it/s]
 93% 280/300 [00:12<00:00, 25.69it/s]
 94% 283/300 [00:12<00:00, 25.49it/s]
 95% 286/300 [00:12<00:00, 25.44it/s]
 96% 289/300 [00:12<00:00, 25.46it/s]
 97% 292/300 [00:12<00:00, 25.88it/s]
 98% 295/300 [00:12<00:00, 25.29it/s]
100% 300/300 [00:12<00:00, 23.39it/s]
Hyperparameter search:  50% 2/4 [00:28<00:27, 13.90s/it]
  0% 0/300 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
  1% 2/300 [00:00<00:19, 15.48it/s]
  1% 4/300 [00:00<00:16, 17.48it/s]
  2% 6/300 [00:00<00:16, 17.91it/s]
  3% 9/300 [00:00<00:14, 19.56it/s]
  4% 12/300 [00:00<00:14, 20.28it/s]
  5% 15/300 [00:00<00:14, 20.08it/s]
  6% 18/300 [00:00<00:13, 20.49it/s]
  7% 21/300 [00:01<00:13, 20.78it/s]
  8% 24/300 [00:01<00:13, 20.88it/s]
  9% 27/300 [00:01<00:12, 21.32it/s]
 10% 30/300 [00:01<00:12, 21.13it/s]
 11% 33/300 [00:01<00:12, 21.31it/s]
 12% 36/300 [00:01<00:12, 21.13it/s]
 13% 39/300 [00:01<00:12, 21.43it/s]
 14% 42/300 [00:02<00:12, 21.28it/s]
 15% 45/300 [00:02<00:11, 21.47it/s]
 16% 48/300 [00:02<00:11, 21.24it/s]
 17% 51/300 [00:02<00:12, 20.72it/s]
 18% 54/300 [00:02<00:11, 20.59it/s]
 19% 57/300 [00:02<00:11, 20.98it/s]
 20% 60/300 [00:02<00:11, 21.28it/s]
 21% 63/300 [00:03<00:11, 21.33it/s]
 22% 66/300 [00:03<00:11, 20.83it/s]
 23% 69/300 [00:03<00:11, 20.97it/s]
 24% 72/300 [00:03<00:10, 20.79it/s]
 25% 75/300 [00:03<00:10, 21.08it/s]
 26% 78/300 [00:03<00:10, 20.95it/s]
 27% 81/300 [00:03<00:11, 19.59it/s]
 28% 83/300 [00:04<00:11, 19.00it/s]
 28% 85/300 [00:04<00:11, 19.10it/s]
 29% 88/300 [00:04<00:10, 19.86it/s]
 30% 91/300 [00:04<00:10, 20.60it/s]
 31% 94/300 [00:04<00:09, 20.89it/s]
 32% 97/300 [00:04<00:09, 20.53it/s]
 33% 100/300 [00:04<00:09, 20.22it/s]
 34% 103/300 [00:05<00:09, 19.79it/s]
 35% 105/300 [00:05<00:10, 18.83it/s]
 36% 108/300 [00:05<00:09, 19.46it/s]
 37% 111/300 [00:05<00:09, 20.11it/s]
 38% 114/300 [00:05<00:08, 20.77it/s]
 39% 117/300 [00:05<00:08, 20.90it/s]
 40% 120/300 [00:05<00:08, 21.17it/s]
 41% 123/300 [00:05<00:08, 21.46it/s]
 42% 126/300 [00:06<00:08, 21.33it/s]
 43% 129/300 [00:06<00:08, 21.15it/s]
 44% 132/300 [00:06<00:08, 20.56it/s]
 45% 135/300 [00:06<00:08, 20.26it/s]
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 47% 141/300 [00:06<00:08, 19.35it/s]
 48% 143/300 [00:07<00:08, 19.27it/s]
 48% 145/300 [00:07<00:08, 19.12it/s]
 49% 148/300 [00:07<00:07, 19.65it/s]
 50% 151/300 [00:07<00:07, 19.94it/s]
 51% 154/300 [00:07<00:07, 20.21it/s]
 52% 157/300 [00:07<00:07, 20.04it/s]
 53% 160/300 [00:07<00:07, 19.98it/s]
 54% 162/300 [00:07<00:07, 19.58it/s]
 55% 164/300 [00:08<00:07, 19.16it/s]
 55% 166/300 [00:08<00:07, 18.96it/s]
 56% 168/300 [00:08<00:07, 18.64it/s]
 57% 170/300 [00:08<00:06, 18.58it/s]
 57% 172/300 [00:08<00:07, 18.27it/s]
 58% 174/300 [00:08<00:07, 17.86it/s]
 59% 176/300 [00:08<00:06, 18.07it/s]
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 63% 190/300 [00:09<00:06, 17.28it/s]
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 65% 194/300 [00:09<00:05, 17.74it/s]
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 70% 209/300 [00:10<00:04, 20.76it/s]
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 73% 218/300 [00:10<00:03, 20.83it/s]
 74% 221/300 [00:11<00:03, 20.85it/s]
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 79% 236/300 [00:11<00:03, 20.78it/s]
 80% 239/300 [00:11<00:02, 20.80it/s]
 81% 242/300 [00:12<00:02, 21.02it/s]
 82% 245/300 [00:12<00:02, 21.16it/s]
 83% 248/300 [00:12<00:02, 21.15it/s]
 84% 251/300 [00:12<00:02, 21.32it/s]
 85% 254/300 [00:12<00:02, 21.39it/s]
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 87% 260/300 [00:12<00:01, 21.14it/s]
 88% 263/300 [00:13<00:01, 21.23it/s]
 89% 266/300 [00:13<00:01, 21.02it/s]
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 93% 278/300 [00:13<00:01, 20.87it/s]
 94% 281/300 [00:13<00:00, 21.01it/s]
 95% 284/300 [00:14<00:00, 19.67it/s]
 95% 286/300 [00:14<00:00, 18.79it/s]
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 99% 296/300 [00:14<00:00, 20.09it/s]
100% 300/300 [00:14<00:00, 20.12it/s]
Hyperparameter search:  75% 3/4 [00:43<00:14, 14.39s/it]
  0% 0/300 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
  1% 3/300 [00:00<00:11, 24.94it/s]
  2% 6/300 [00:00<00:12, 23.58it/s]
  3% 9/300 [00:00<00:12, 24.19it/s]
  4% 12/300 [00:00<00:11, 24.35it/s]
  5% 15/300 [00:00<00:11, 24.24it/s]
  6% 18/300 [00:00<00:11, 24.25it/s]
  7% 21/300 [00:00<00:11, 24.89it/s]
  8% 24/300 [00:00<00:10, 25.22it/s]
  9% 27/300 [00:01<00:10, 25.72it/s]
 10% 30/300 [00:01<00:10, 26.01it/s]
 11% 33/300 [00:01<00:10, 25.45it/s]
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 15% 45/300 [00:01<00:09, 26.70it/s]
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 27% 81/300 [00:03<00:08, 25.37it/s]
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 83% 249/300 [00:10<00:02, 25.46it/s]
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 85% 255/300 [00:10<00:01, 25.33it/s]
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 87% 261/300 [00:10<00:01, 25.00it/s]
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 90% 270/300 [00:11<00:01, 25.03it/s]
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 93% 279/300 [00:11<00:00, 25.45it/s]
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 99% 297/300 [00:12<00:00, 25.44it/s]
100% 300/300 [00:12<00:00, 24.16it/s]
Hyperparameter search: 100% 4/4 [00:55<00:00, 13.92s/it]
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'lr': 0.1}) 
 with NLL 2.852689
100% 300/300 [00:23<00:00, 12.79it/s]
Starting HeartRateDataset arima
Train length: 540, Val length: 180
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/18 [00:00<?, ?it/s]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  17% 3/18 [00:12<00:53,  3.56s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  22% 4/18 [00:42<03:19, 14.23s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  33% 6/18 [01:07<02:45, 13.82s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  44% 8/18 [01:19<01:37,  9.75s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  50% 9/18 [01:34<01:40, 11.11s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  56% 10/18 [02:07<02:24, 18.09s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  67% 12/18 [02:41<01:46, 17.68s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  72% 13/18 [03:13<01:49, 21.94s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  78% 14/18 [03:44<01:39, 24.76s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  89% 16/18 [04:03<00:33, 16.56s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search: 100% 18/18 [04:24<00:00, 14.67s/it]
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'p': 12, 'd': 1, 'q': 1}) 
 with NLL 2.389342
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Starting HeartRateDataset N-HiTS
Train length: 540, Val length: 180
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]************ Fitting model... ************
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed HeartRateDataset N-HiTS
No supported gpu backend found!
Starting HeartRateDataset TCN
Train length: 540, Val length: 180
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]************ Fitting model... ************
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed HeartRateDataset TCN
No supported gpu backend found!
Starting HeartRateDataset N-BEATS
Train length: 540, Val length: 180
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]************ Fitting model... ************
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed HeartRateDataset N-BEATS
No supported gpu backend found!
Finished HeartRateDataset
In [ ]:
!python -m experiments.run_monash

Loading test sets from datasets/monash
Starting weather
Starting weather gpt-3
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'gpt-3.5-turbo-instruct', 'temp': 0.7, 'alpha': 0.9, 'beta': 0, 'basic': False, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=' ,', bit_sep=' ', plus_sign='', minus_sign=' -', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 477
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 437
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 436
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 420
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 440
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 431
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 423
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 431
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 437
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 430
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 490
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 419
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 437
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 432
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 419
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 465
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 421
Running completions in parallel for each input
  1% 31/3010 [00:18<29:45,  1.67it/s]
Failed weather gpt-3
Rate limit reached for gpt-3.5-turbo-instruct in organization org-q7vdPyqlCyXYcJpFqsdIPV8R on tokens per min (TPM): Limit 90000, Used 88218, Requested 2323. Please try again in 360ms. Visit https://platform.openai.com/account/rate-limits to learn more.
Finished weather
Starting covid_deaths
Starting covid_deaths gpt-3
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'gpt-3.5-turbo-instruct', 'temp': 0.7, 'alpha': 0.9, 'beta': 0, 'basic': False, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=' ,', bit_sep=' ', plus_sign='', minus_sign=' -', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
Running completions in parallel for each input
  0% 0/266 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed covid_deaths gpt-3
Rate limit reached for gpt-3.5-turbo-instruct in organization org-q7vdPyqlCyXYcJpFqsdIPV8R on tokens per min (TPM): Limit 90000, Used 89739, Requested 1507. Please try again in 830ms. Visit https://platform.openai.com/account/rate-limits to learn more.
Finished covid_deaths
Starting solar_weekly
Starting solar_weekly gpt-3
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'gpt-3.5-turbo-instruct', 'temp': 0.7, 'alpha': 0.9, 'beta': 0, 'basic': False, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=' ,', bit_sep=' ', plus_sign='', minus_sign=' -', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
Running completions in parallel for each input
  8% 11/137 [00:01<00:19,  6.33it/s]
Failed solar_weekly gpt-3
Rate limit reached for gpt-3.5-turbo-instruct in organization org-q7vdPyqlCyXYcJpFqsdIPV8R on tokens per min (TPM): Limit 90000, Used 89828, Requested 299. Please try again in 84ms. Visit https://platform.openai.com/account/rate-limits to learn more.
Finished solar_weekly
Starting tourism_monthly
Starting tourism_monthly gpt-3
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'gpt-3.5-turbo-instruct', 'temp': 0.7, 'alpha': 0.9, 'beta': 0, 'basic': False, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=' ,', bit_sep=' ', plus_sign='', minus_sign=' -', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
Failed tourism_monthly gpt-3
setting an array element with a sequence. The requested array has an inhomogeneous shape after 1 dimensions. The detected shape was (366,) + inhomogeneous part.
Finished tourism_monthly
Starting australian_electricity_demand
Starting australian_electricity_demand gpt-3
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'gpt-3.5-turbo-instruct', 'temp': 0.7, 'alpha': 0.9, 'beta': 0, 'basic': False, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=' ,', bit_sep=' ', plus_sign='', minus_sign=' -', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 176
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 186
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 164
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 150
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 171
Running completions in parallel for each input
  0% 0/5 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed australian_electricity_demand gpt-3
Rate limit reached for gpt-3.5-turbo-instruct in organization org-q7vdPyqlCyXYcJpFqsdIPV8R on tokens per min (TPM): Limit 90000, Used 84766, Requested 14566. Please try again in 6.221s. Visit https://platform.openai.com/account/rate-limits to learn more.
Finished australian_electricity_demand
Starting pedestrian_counts
Starting pedestrian_counts gpt-3
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'gpt-3.5-turbo-instruct', 'temp': 0.7, 'alpha': 0.9, 'beta': 0, 'basic': False, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=' ,', bit_sep=' ', plus_sign='', minus_sign=' -', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
Running completions in parallel for each input
  0% 0/66 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed pedestrian_counts gpt-3
Rate limit reached for gpt-3.5-turbo-instruct in organization org-q7vdPyqlCyXYcJpFqsdIPV8R on tokens per min (TPM): Limit 90000, Used 89484, Requested 1883. Please try again in 911ms. Visit https://platform.openai.com/account/rate-limits to learn more.
Finished pedestrian_counts
Starting traffic_hourly
Starting traffic_hourly gpt-3
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'gpt-3.5-turbo-instruct', 'temp': 0.7, 'alpha': 0.9, 'beta': 0, 'basic': False, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=' ,', bit_sep=' ', plus_sign='', minus_sign=' -', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 395
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 385
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 398
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 431
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 400
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 415
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 404
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 396
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 389
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 396
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 387
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 401
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 410
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 400
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 388
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 408
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 408
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 412
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 378
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 401
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 417
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 410
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 418
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 391
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 393
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 413
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 386
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 488
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 409
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 397
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 394
Warning: Truncated input from 500 to 397
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Running completions in parallel for each input
  2% 16/862 [00:53<47:34,  3.37s/it]
Failed traffic_hourly gpt-3
Rate limit reached for gpt-3.5-turbo-instruct in organization org-q7vdPyqlCyXYcJpFqsdIPV8R on tokens per min (TPM): Limit 90000, Used 88635, Requested 7542. Please try again in 4.118s. Visit https://platform.openai.com/account/rate-limits to learn more.
Finished traffic_hourly
Starting hospital
Starting hospital gpt-3
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'gpt-3.5-turbo-instruct', 'temp': 0.7, 'alpha': 0.9, 'beta': 0, 'basic': False, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=' ,', bit_sep=' ', plus_sign='', minus_sign=' -', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
Running completions in parallel for each input
  3% 24/767 [00:05<03:05,  4.00it/s]
Failed hospital gpt-3
Rate limit reached for gpt-3.5-turbo-instruct in organization org-q7vdPyqlCyXYcJpFqsdIPV8R on tokens per min (TPM): Limit 90000, Used 89644, Requested 652. Please try again in 197ms. Visit https://platform.openai.com/account/rate-limits to learn more.
Finished hospital
Starting fred_md
Starting fred_md gpt-3
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'gpt-3.5-turbo-instruct', 'temp': 0.7, 'alpha': 0.9, 'beta': 0, 'basic': False, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=' ,', bit_sep=' ', plus_sign='', minus_sign=' -', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
Running completions in parallel for each input
  0% 0/107 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed fred_md gpt-3
Rate limit reached for gpt-3.5-turbo-instruct in organization org-q7vdPyqlCyXYcJpFqsdIPV8R on tokens per min (TPM): Limit 90000, Used 88690, Requested 1514. Please try again in 136ms. Visit https://platform.openai.com/account/rate-limits to learn more.
Finished fred_md
Starting tourism_yearly
Starting tourism_yearly gpt-3
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'gpt-3.5-turbo-instruct', 'temp': 0.7, 'alpha': 0.9, 'beta': 0, 'basic': False, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=' ,', bit_sep=' ', plus_sign='', minus_sign=' -', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
Failed tourism_yearly gpt-3
setting an array element with a sequence. The requested array has an inhomogeneous shape after 1 dimensions. The detected shape was (518,) + inhomogeneous part.
Finished tourism_yearly
Starting tourism_quarterly
Starting tourism_quarterly gpt-3
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'gpt-3.5-turbo-instruct', 'temp': 0.7, 'alpha': 0.9, 'beta': 0, 'basic': False, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=' ,', bit_sep=' ', plus_sign='', minus_sign=' -', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
Failed tourism_quarterly gpt-3
setting an array element with a sequence. The requested array has an inhomogeneous shape after 1 dimensions. The detected shape was (427,) + inhomogeneous part.
Finished tourism_quarterly
Starting us_births
Starting us_births gpt-3
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'gpt-3.5-turbo-instruct', 'temp': 0.7, 'alpha': 0.9, 'beta': 0, 'basic': False, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=' ,', bit_sep=' ', plus_sign='', minus_sign=' -', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
  0% 0/1 [00:00<?, ?it/s]Failed us_births gpt-3
Rate limit reached for gpt-3.5-turbo-instruct in organization org-q7vdPyqlCyXYcJpFqsdIPV8R on tokens per min (TPM): Limit 90000, Used 88974, Requested 2305. Please try again in 852ms. Visit https://platform.openai.com/account/rate-limits to learn more.
  0% 0/1 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Finished us_births
Starting nn5_weekly
Starting nn5_weekly gpt-3
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'gpt-3.5-turbo-instruct', 'temp': 0.7, 'alpha': 0.9, 'beta': 0, 'basic': False, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=' ,', bit_sep=' ', plus_sign='', minus_sign=' -', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
Running completions in parallel for each input
  0% 0/111 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed nn5_weekly gpt-3
Rate limit reached for gpt-3.5-turbo-instruct in organization org-q7vdPyqlCyXYcJpFqsdIPV8R on tokens per min (TPM): Limit 90000, Used 89636, Requested 554. Please try again in 126ms. Visit https://platform.openai.com/account/rate-limits to learn more.
Finished nn5_weekly
Starting traffic_weekly
Starting traffic_weekly gpt-3
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'gpt-3.5-turbo-instruct', 'temp': 0.7, 'alpha': 0.9, 'beta': 0, 'basic': False, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=' ,', bit_sep=' ', plus_sign='', minus_sign=' -', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
Running completions in parallel for each input
  0% 3/862 [00:01<08:20,  1.72it/s]
Failed traffic_weekly gpt-3
Rate limit reached for gpt-3.5-turbo-instruct in organization org-q7vdPyqlCyXYcJpFqsdIPV8R on tokens per min (TPM): Limit 90000, Used 89476, Requested 536. Please try again in 8ms. Visit https://platform.openai.com/account/rate-limits to learn more.
Finished traffic_weekly
Starting saugeenday
Starting saugeenday gpt-3
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'gpt-3.5-turbo-instruct', 'temp': 0.7, 'alpha': 0.9, 'beta': 0, 'basic': False, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=' ,', bit_sep=' ', plus_sign='', minus_sign=' -', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
  0% 0/1 [00:00<?, ?it/s]Failed saugeenday gpt-3
Rate limit reached for gpt-3.5-turbo-instruct in organization org-q7vdPyqlCyXYcJpFqsdIPV8R on tokens per min (TPM): Limit 90000, Used 88831, Requested 2095. Please try again in 617ms. Visit https://platform.openai.com/account/rate-limits to learn more.
  0% 0/1 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Finished saugeenday
Starting cif_2016
Starting cif_2016 gpt-3
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'gpt-3.5-turbo-instruct', 'temp': 0.7, 'alpha': 0.9, 'beta': 0, 'basic': False, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=' ,', bit_sep=' ', plus_sign='', minus_sign=' -', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
Failed cif_2016 gpt-3
setting an array element with a sequence. The requested array has an inhomogeneous shape after 1 dimensions. The detected shape was (72,) + inhomogeneous part.
Finished cif_2016
Starting bitcoin
Starting bitcoin gpt-3
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'gpt-3.5-turbo-instruct', 'temp': 0.7, 'alpha': 0.9, 'beta': 0, 'basic': False, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=' ,', bit_sep=' ', plus_sign='', minus_sign=' -', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
Running completions in parallel for each input
  0% 0/18 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed bitcoin gpt-3
Rate limit reached for gpt-3.5-turbo-instruct in organization org-q7vdPyqlCyXYcJpFqsdIPV8R on tokens per min (TPM): Limit 90000, Used 88504, Requested 2313. Please try again in 544ms. Visit https://platform.openai.com/account/rate-limits to learn more.
Finished bitcoin
Starting sunspot
Starting sunspot gpt-3
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'gpt-3.5-turbo-instruct', 'temp': 0.7, 'alpha': 0.9, 'beta': 0, 'basic': False, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=' ,', bit_sep=' ', plus_sign='', minus_sign=' -', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
100% 1/1 [00:02<00:00,  2.29s/it]
Warning: Prediction too short 19 < 30, padded with last value
Failed sunspot gpt-3
Length of values (1) does not match length of index (30)
Finished sunspot
Starting nn5_daily
Starting nn5_daily gpt-3
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'gpt-3.5-turbo-instruct', 'temp': 0.7, 'alpha': 0.9, 'beta': 0, 'basic': False, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=' ,', bit_sep=' ', plus_sign='', minus_sign=' -', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
Running completions in parallel for each input
  0% 0/111 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed nn5_daily gpt-3
Rate limit reached for gpt-3.5-turbo-instruct in organization org-q7vdPyqlCyXYcJpFqsdIPV8R on tokens per min (TPM): Limit 90000, Used 86606, Requested 3433. Please try again in 26ms. Visit https://platform.openai.com/account/rate-limits to learn more.
Finished nn5_daily
In [32]:
!python -m experiments.run_synthetic

Starting sinc text-davinci-003
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'text-davinci-003', 'alpha': 0.1, 'basic': True, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=' ,', bit_sep=' ', plus_sign='', minus_sign=' -', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
  0% 0/1 [00:00<?, ?it/s]Failed sinc text-davinci-003
The model `text-davinci-003` has been deprecated, learn more here: https://platform.openai.com/docs/deprecations
  0% 0/1 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Starting sinc gpt-4
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'gpt-4', 'alpha': 0.3, 'basic': True, 'temp': 1.0, 'top_p': 0.8, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=', ', bit_sep='', plus_sign='', minus_sign='-', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
100% 1/1 [00:11<00:00, 11.33s/it]
Warning: Prediction too short 48 < 60, padded with last value
Warning: Prediction too short 38 < 60, padded with last value
Warning: Prediction too short 37 < 60, padded with last value
Warning: Prediction too short 39 < 60, padded with last value
Starting sinc arima
Train length: 80, Val length: 60
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/18 [00:00<?, ?it/s]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:   6% 1/18 [00:04<01:16,  4.53s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  11% 2/18 [00:08<01:04,  4.06s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  17% 3/18 [00:11<00:52,  3.49s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  22% 4/18 [00:37<02:58, 12.74s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  28% 5/18 [00:42<02:04,  9.59s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  33% 6/18 [01:01<02:36, 13.01s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  39% 7/18 [01:06<01:53, 10.33s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  44% 8/18 [01:13<01:33,  9.36s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  50% 9/18 [01:27<01:35, 10.66s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  56% 10/18 [01:53<02:02, 15.36s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
Hyperparameter search:  61% 11/18 [01:58<01:26, 12.40s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  67% 12/18 [02:16<01:24, 14.05s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  72% 13/18 [02:33<01:13, 14.79s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  78% 14/18 [02:51<01:03, 15.92s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  83% 15/18 [02:59<00:40, 13.58s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
Hyperparameter search:  89% 16/18 [03:00<00:19,  9.78s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
Hyperparameter search:  94% 17/18 [03:11<00:09,  9.98s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search: 100% 18/18 [03:12<00:00, 10.72s/it]
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'p': 12, 'd': 2, 'q': 0}) 
 with NLL -6.222871
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Starting sinc TCN
Train length: 80, Val length: 60
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]************ Fitting model... ************
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed sinc TCN
No supported gpu backend found!
Finished sinc
Starting exp text-davinci-003
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'text-davinci-003', 'alpha': 0.1, 'basic': True, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=' ,', bit_sep=' ', plus_sign='', minus_sign=' -', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
  0% 0/1 [00:00<?, ?it/s]Failed exp text-davinci-003
The model `text-davinci-003` has been deprecated, learn more here: https://platform.openai.com/docs/deprecations
  0% 0/1 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Starting exp gpt-4
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'gpt-4', 'alpha': 0.3, 'basic': True, 'temp': 1.0, 'top_p': 0.8, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=', ', bit_sep='', plus_sign='', minus_sign='-', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
100% 1/1 [00:10<00:00, 10.82s/it]
Starting exp arima
Train length: 80, Val length: 60
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/18 [00:00<?, ?it/s]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:   6% 1/18 [00:02<00:50,  2.98s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  11% 2/18 [00:04<00:38,  2.41s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Hyperparameter search:  17% 3/18 [00:05<00:24,  1.62s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Hyperparameter search:  22% 4/18 [00:14<01:01,  4.40s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  28% 5/18 [00:20<01:04,  4.95s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Hyperparameter search:  33% 6/18 [00:34<01:36,  8.04s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Hyperparameter search:  39% 7/18 [00:35<01:03,  5.80s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Hyperparameter search:  44% 8/18 [00:43<01:05,  6.50s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  50% 9/18 [00:57<01:20,  8.90s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Hyperparameter search:  56% 10/18 [01:16<01:34, 11.87s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  61% 11/18 [01:25<01:18, 11.17s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Hyperparameter search:  67% 12/18 [01:29<00:53,  9.00s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  72% 13/18 [01:56<01:11, 14.30s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Hyperparameter search:  78% 14/18 [02:28<01:18, 19.73s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  83% 15/18 [02:42<00:53, 17.85s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  89% 16/18 [02:48<00:28, 14.36s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Hyperparameter search:  94% 17/18 [02:51<00:11, 11.04s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Hyperparameter search: 100% 18/18 [02:56<00:00,  9.78s/it]
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'p': 30, 'd': 2, 'q': 1}) 
 with NLL -2.425160
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Starting exp TCN
Train length: 80, Val length: 60
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]************ Fitting model... ************
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed exp TCN
No supported gpu backend found!
Finished exp
Starting x_times_sine text-davinci-003
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'text-davinci-003', 'alpha': 0.1, 'basic': True, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=' ,', bit_sep=' ', plus_sign='', minus_sign=' -', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
  0% 0/1 [00:00<?, ?it/s]Failed x_times_sine text-davinci-003
The model `text-davinci-003` has been deprecated, learn more here: https://platform.openai.com/docs/deprecations
  0% 0/1 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Starting x_times_sine gpt-4
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'gpt-4', 'alpha': 0.3, 'basic': True, 'temp': 1.0, 'top_p': 0.8, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=', ', bit_sep='', plus_sign='', minus_sign='-', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
100% 1/1 [00:09<00:00,  9.57s/it]
Warning: Prediction too short 59 < 60, padded with last value
Warning: Prediction too short 59 < 60, padded with last value
Starting x_times_sine arima
Train length: 80, Val length: 60
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/18 [00:00<?, ?it/s]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:   6% 1/18 [00:04<01:08,  4.01s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  11% 2/18 [00:07<00:58,  3.64s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  17% 3/18 [00:10<00:48,  3.26s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  22% 4/18 [00:33<02:35, 11.10s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  28% 5/18 [00:36<01:48,  8.38s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  33% 6/18 [00:56<02:25, 12.11s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  39% 7/18 [00:59<01:41,  9.22s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  44% 8/18 [01:06<01:24,  8.49s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  50% 9/18 [01:17<01:24,  9.40s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  56% 10/18 [01:56<02:27, 18.50s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  61% 11/18 [02:05<01:47, 15.41s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  67% 12/18 [02:22<01:35, 15.90s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  72% 13/18 [02:47<01:34, 18.92s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Hyperparameter search:  78% 14/18 [03:07<01:16, 19.08s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  83% 15/18 [03:17<00:48, 16.28s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  89% 16/18 [03:20<00:24, 12.25s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  94% 17/18 [03:29<00:11, 11.34s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Hyperparameter search: 100% 18/18 [03:31<00:00, 11.75s/it]
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'p': 20, 'd': 1, 'q': 1}) 
 with NLL -5.477613
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Starting x_times_sine TCN
Train length: 80, Val length: 60
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]************ Fitting model... ************
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed x_times_sine TCN
No supported gpu backend found!
Finished x_times_sine
Starting gaussian_wave text-davinci-003
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'text-davinci-003', 'alpha': 0.1, 'basic': True, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=' ,', bit_sep=' ', plus_sign='', minus_sign=' -', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
  0% 0/1 [00:00<?, ?it/s]Failed gaussian_wave text-davinci-003
The model `text-davinci-003` has been deprecated, learn more here: https://platform.openai.com/docs/deprecations
  0% 0/1 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Starting gaussian_wave gpt-4
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'gpt-4', 'alpha': 0.3, 'basic': True, 'temp': 1.0, 'top_p': 0.8, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=', ', bit_sep='', plus_sign='', minus_sign='-', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
100% 1/1 [00:11<00:00, 11.98s/it]
Warning: Prediction too short 59 < 60, padded with last value
Starting gaussian_wave arima
Train length: 80, Val length: 60
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/18 [00:00<?, ?it/s]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
Hyperparameter search:   6% 1/18 [00:00<00:14,  1.17it/s]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Hyperparameter search:  11% 2/18 [00:01<00:11,  1.37it/s]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Hyperparameter search:  17% 3/18 [00:02<00:10,  1.48it/s]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  22% 4/18 [00:25<02:14,  9.62s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  28% 5/18 [00:29<01:39,  7.69s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  33% 6/18 [00:48<02:18, 11.53s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
Hyperparameter search:  39% 7/18 [00:49<01:28,  8.03s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  44% 8/18 [00:55<01:14,  7.49s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
Hyperparameter search:  50% 9/18 [01:04<01:09,  7.77s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
Hyperparameter search:  56% 10/18 [01:08<00:52,  6.55s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  61% 11/18 [01:17<00:52,  7.48s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  67% 12/18 [01:34<01:01, 10.23s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  72% 13/18 [01:54<01:05, 13.16s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  78% 14/18 [02:16<01:03, 15.93s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  83% 15/18 [02:23<00:39, 13.21s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
Hyperparameter search:  89% 16/18 [02:23<00:18,  9.42s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  94% 17/18 [02:32<00:09,  9.04s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search: 100% 18/18 [02:38<00:00,  8.82s/it]
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'p': 20, 'd': 2, 'q': 2}) 
 with NLL -4.913258
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Starting gaussian_wave TCN
Train length: 80, Val length: 60
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]************ Fitting model... ************
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed gaussian_wave TCN
No supported gpu backend found!
Finished gaussian_wave
Starting sigmoid text-davinci-003
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'text-davinci-003', 'alpha': 0.1, 'basic': True, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=' ,', bit_sep=' ', plus_sign='', minus_sign=' -', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
  0% 0/1 [00:00<?, ?it/s]Failed sigmoid text-davinci-003
The model `text-davinci-003` has been deprecated, learn more here: https://platform.openai.com/docs/deprecations
  0% 0/1 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Starting sigmoid gpt-4
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'gpt-4', 'alpha': 0.3, 'basic': True, 'temp': 1.0, 'top_p': 0.8, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=', ', bit_sep='', plus_sign='', minus_sign='-', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
100% 1/1 [00:09<00:00,  9.01s/it]
Warning: Prediction too short 11 < 60, padded with last value
Warning: Prediction too short 33 < 60, padded with last value
Warning: Prediction too short 35 < 60, padded with last value
Warning: Prediction too short 35 < 60, padded with last value
Warning: Prediction too short 30 < 60, padded with last value
Starting sigmoid arima
Train length: 80, Val length: 60
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/18 [00:00<?, ?it/s]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
Hyperparameter search:   6% 1/18 [00:01<00:25,  1.49s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Hyperparameter search:  11% 2/18 [00:02<00:20,  1.30s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  17% 3/18 [00:07<00:44,  2.98s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  22% 4/18 [00:25<02:05,  8.95s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
Hyperparameter search:  28% 5/18 [00:26<01:18,  6.03s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  33% 6/18 [00:41<01:47,  8.94s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
Hyperparameter search:  39% 7/18 [00:42<01:11,  6.47s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Hyperparameter search:  44% 8/18 [00:44<00:49,  4.90s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
Hyperparameter search:  50% 9/18 [00:46<00:36,  4.02s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  56% 10/18 [01:04<01:07,  8.49s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Hyperparameter search:  61% 11/18 [01:10<00:53,  7.64s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  67% 12/18 [01:34<01:15, 12.57s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
Hyperparameter search:  72% 13/18 [01:38<00:50, 10.03s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  78% 14/18 [01:57<00:50, 12.67s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
Hyperparameter search:  83% 15/18 [01:59<00:28,  9.45s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
Hyperparameter search:  89% 16/18 [02:00<00:13,  6.86s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
Hyperparameter search:  94% 17/18 [02:04<00:06,  6.11s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search: 100% 18/18 [02:10<00:00,  7.25s/it]
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'p': 20, 'd': 2, 'q': 2}) 
 with NLL -7.411438
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Starting sigmoid TCN
Train length: 80, Val length: 60
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]************ Fitting model... ************
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed sigmoid TCN
No supported gpu backend found!
Finished sigmoid
Starting log text-davinci-003
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'text-davinci-003', 'alpha': 0.1, 'basic': True, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=' ,', bit_sep=' ', plus_sign='', minus_sign=' -', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
  0% 0/1 [00:00<?, ?it/s]Failed log text-davinci-003
The model `text-davinci-003` has been deprecated, learn more here: https://platform.openai.com/docs/deprecations
  0% 0/1 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Starting log gpt-4
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'gpt-4', 'alpha': 0.3, 'basic': True, 'temp': 1.0, 'top_p': 0.8, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=', ', bit_sep='', plus_sign='', minus_sign='-', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
100% 1/1 [00:10<00:00, 10.85s/it]
Warning: Prediction too short 59 < 60, padded with last value
Warning: Prediction too short 57 < 60, padded with last value
Warning: Prediction too short 59 < 60, padded with last value
Starting log arima
Train length: 80, Val length: 60
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/18 [00:00<?, ?it/s]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:   6% 1/18 [00:02<00:47,  2.78s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  11% 2/18 [00:06<00:52,  3.28s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Hyperparameter search:  17% 3/18 [00:08<00:41,  2.74s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  22% 4/18 [00:28<02:12,  9.45s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
Hyperparameter search:  28% 5/18 [00:29<01:22,  6.32s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Hyperparameter search:  33% 6/18 [00:33<01:08,  5.70s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  39% 7/18 [00:37<00:56,  5.16s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Hyperparameter search:  44% 8/18 [00:39<00:40,  4.04s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  50% 9/18 [00:55<01:09,  7.78s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  56% 10/18 [01:14<01:29, 11.20s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  61% 11/18 [01:23<01:13, 10.54s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Hyperparameter search:  67% 12/18 [01:27<00:51,  8.66s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  72% 13/18 [01:50<01:05, 13.11s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  78% 14/18 [02:23<01:16, 19.09s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  83% 15/18 [02:34<00:49, 16.64s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
Hyperparameter search:  89% 16/18 [02:37<00:25, 12.53s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Hyperparameter search:  94% 17/18 [02:40<00:09,  9.64s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Hyperparameter search: 100% 18/18 [02:42<00:00,  9.02s/it]
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'p': 12, 'd': 2, 'q': 2}) 
 with NLL -7.357843
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
Starting log TCN
Train length: 80, Val length: 60
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]************ Fitting model... ************
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed log TCN
No supported gpu backend found!
Finished log
Starting linear text-davinci-003
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'text-davinci-003', 'alpha': 0.1, 'basic': True, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=' ,', bit_sep=' ', plus_sign='', minus_sign=' -', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
  0% 0/1 [00:00<?, ?it/s]Failed linear text-davinci-003
The model `text-davinci-003` has been deprecated, learn more here: https://platform.openai.com/docs/deprecations
  0% 0/1 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Starting linear gpt-4
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'gpt-4', 'alpha': 0.3, 'basic': True, 'temp': 1.0, 'top_p': 0.8, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=', ', bit_sep='', plus_sign='', minus_sign='-', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
100% 1/1 [00:09<00:00,  9.31s/it]
Warning: Prediction too short 53 < 60, padded with last value
Starting linear arima
Train length: 80, Val length: 60
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/18 [00:00<?, ?it/s]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:   6% 1/18 [00:02<00:34,  2.00s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  11% 2/18 [00:03<00:26,  1.63s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  17% 3/18 [00:05<00:30,  2.06s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  22% 4/18 [00:16<01:17,  5.53s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Hyperparameter search:  28% 5/18 [00:19<00:59,  4.59s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  33% 6/18 [00:30<01:19,  6.65s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  39% 7/18 [00:32<00:55,  5.09s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Hyperparameter search:  44% 8/18 [00:34<00:43,  4.30s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Hyperparameter search:  50% 9/18 [00:50<01:10,  7.80s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  56% 10/18 [01:01<01:10,  8.84s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
Hyperparameter search:  61% 11/18 [01:04<00:49,  7.14s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Hyperparameter search:  67% 12/18 [01:09<00:38,  6.34s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Hyperparameter search:  72% 13/18 [01:35<01:02, 12.48s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  78% 14/18 [01:54<00:56, 14.17s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  83% 15/18 [02:01<00:36, 12.03s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  89% 16/18 [02:03<00:18,  9.25s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
Hyperparameter search:  94% 17/18 [02:06<00:07,  7.36s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search: 100% 18/18 [02:09<00:00,  7.21s/it]
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'p': 12, 'd': 2, 'q': 2}) 
 with NLL -11.077779
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Starting linear TCN
Train length: 80, Val length: 60
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]************ Fitting model... ************
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed linear TCN
No supported gpu backend found!
Finished linear
Starting sine text-davinci-003
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'text-davinci-003', 'alpha': 0.1, 'basic': True, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=' ,', bit_sep=' ', plus_sign='', minus_sign=' -', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
  0% 0/1 [00:00<?, ?it/s]Failed sine text-davinci-003
The model `text-davinci-003` has been deprecated, learn more here: https://platform.openai.com/docs/deprecations
  0% 0/1 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Starting sine gpt-4
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'gpt-4', 'alpha': 0.3, 'basic': True, 'temp': 1.0, 'top_p': 0.8, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=', ', bit_sep='', plus_sign='', minus_sign='-', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
100% 1/1 [00:13<00:00, 13.73s/it]
Warning: Prediction too short 57 < 60, padded with last value
Warning: Prediction too short 59 < 60, padded with last value
Warning: Prediction too short 31 < 60, padded with last value
Warning: Prediction too short 49 < 60, padded with last value
Starting sine arima
Train length: 80, Val length: 60
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/18 [00:00<?, ?it/s]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  11% 2/18 [00:05<00:44,  2.75s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  22% 4/18 [00:25<01:56,  8.34s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  28% 5/18 [00:29<01:28,  6.82s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  39% 7/18 [00:55<01:40,  9.13s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  44% 8/18 [01:06<01:35,  9.54s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  50% 9/18 [01:13<01:20,  8.98s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  56% 10/18 [01:45<02:07, 15.90s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  61% 11/18 [01:56<01:40, 14.40s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  67% 12/18 [02:17<01:38, 16.35s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Hyperparameter search:  72% 13/18 [02:37<01:27, 17.58s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  78% 14/18 [03:18<01:39, 24.80s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  83% 15/18 [03:28<01:00, 20.30s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  89% 16/18 [03:32<00:30, 15.44s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search: 100% 18/18 [03:55<00:00, 13.07s/it]
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'p': 12, 'd': 1, 'q': 2}) 
 with NLL -6.786115
Starting sine TCN
Train length: 80, Val length: 60
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]************ Fitting model... ************
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed sine TCN
No supported gpu backend found!
Finished sine
Starting linear_cos text-davinci-003
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'text-davinci-003', 'alpha': 0.1, 'basic': True, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=' ,', bit_sep=' ', plus_sign='', minus_sign=' -', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
  0% 0/1 [00:00<?, ?it/s]Failed linear_cos text-davinci-003
The model `text-davinci-003` has been deprecated, learn more here: https://platform.openai.com/docs/deprecations
  0% 0/1 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Starting linear_cos gpt-4
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'gpt-4', 'alpha': 0.3, 'basic': True, 'temp': 1.0, 'top_p': 0.8, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=', ', bit_sep='', plus_sign='', minus_sign='-', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
100% 1/1 [00:09<00:00,  9.97s/it]
Warning: Prediction too short 28 < 60, padded with last value
Warning: Prediction too short 29 < 60, padded with last value
Warning: Prediction too short 29 < 60, padded with last value
Warning: Prediction too short 10 < 60, padded with last value
Warning: Prediction too short 30 < 60, padded with last value
Starting linear_cos arima
Train length: 80, Val length: 60
Hyperparameter search:   6% 1/18 [00:01<00:20,  1.23s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  11% 2/18 [00:05<00:52,  3.30s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  17% 3/18 [00:08<00:47,  3.17s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  22% 4/18 [00:30<02:26, 10.50s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  28% 5/18 [00:34<01:46,  8.16s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  44% 8/18 [01:05<01:27,  8.76s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  50% 9/18 [01:14<01:19,  8.83s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  56% 10/18 [01:36<01:42, 12.87s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  61% 11/18 [01:48<01:28, 12.65s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  67% 12/18 [02:10<01:33, 15.56s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  72% 13/18 [02:33<01:28, 17.67s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  78% 14/18 [02:56<01:18, 19.54s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  83% 15/18 [03:06<00:49, 16.66s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  89% 16/18 [03:11<00:26, 13.13s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  94% 17/18 [03:21<00:12, 12.22s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Hyperparameter search: 100% 18/18 [03:23<00:00, 11.32s/it]
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'p': 12, 'd': 1, 'q': 2}) 
 with NLL -7.302071
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Starting linear_cos TCN
Train length: 80, Val length: 60
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]************ Fitting model... ************
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed linear_cos TCN
No supported gpu backend found!
Finished linear_cos
Starting beat text-davinci-003
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'text-davinci-003', 'alpha': 0.1, 'basic': True, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=' ,', bit_sep=' ', plus_sign='', minus_sign=' -', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
  0% 0/1 [00:00<?, ?it/s]Failed beat text-davinci-003
The model `text-davinci-003` has been deprecated, learn more here: https://platform.openai.com/docs/deprecations
  0% 0/1 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Starting beat gpt-4
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'gpt-4', 'alpha': 0.3, 'basic': True, 'temp': 1.0, 'top_p': 0.8, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=', ', bit_sep='', plus_sign='', minus_sign='-', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
100% 1/1 [00:13<00:00, 13.02s/it]
Starting beat arima
Train length: 80, Val length: 60
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/18 [00:00<?, ?it/s]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-invertible starting MA parameters found.'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:   6% 1/18 [00:05<01:36,  5.68s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  11% 2/18 [00:10<01:26,  5.43s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  17% 3/18 [00:14<01:09,  4.64s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  22% 4/18 [00:48<03:49, 16.37s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  28% 5/18 [00:53<02:38, 12.17s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  33% 6/18 [01:26<03:49, 19.14s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  39% 7/18 [01:29<02:34, 14.06s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  44% 8/18 [01:38<02:02, 12.22s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  50% 9/18 [01:53<01:59, 13.27s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  56% 10/18 [02:31<02:45, 20.65s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  61% 11/18 [02:42<02:05, 17.88s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  67% 12/18 [03:30<02:41, 26.89s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Hyperparameter search:  72% 13/18 [04:21<02:51, 34.38s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  78% 14/18 [04:58<02:20, 35.19s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  83% 15/18 [05:14<01:28, 29.34s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  89% 16/18 [05:21<00:45, 22.62s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  94% 17/18 [05:32<00:19, 19.12s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search: 100% 18/18 [05:44<00:00, 19.16s/it]
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'p': 12, 'd': 1, 'q': 2}) 
 with NLL -6.370242
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Starting beat TCN
Train length: 80, Val length: 60
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]************ Fitting model... ************
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed beat TCN
No supported gpu backend found!
Finished beat
Starting xsin text-davinci-003
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'text-davinci-003', 'alpha': 0.1, 'basic': True, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=' ,', bit_sep=' ', plus_sign='', minus_sign=' -', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
  0% 0/1 [00:00<?, ?it/s]Failed xsin text-davinci-003
The model `text-davinci-003` has been deprecated, learn more here: https://platform.openai.com/docs/deprecations
  0% 0/1 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Starting xsin gpt-4
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'gpt-4', 'alpha': 0.3, 'basic': True, 'temp': 1.0, 'top_p': 0.8, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=', ', bit_sep='', plus_sign='', minus_sign='-', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
100% 1/1 [00:09<00:00,  9.51s/it]
Starting xsin arima
Train length: 80, Val length: 60
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/18 [00:00<?, ?it/s]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Hyperparameter search:   6% 1/18 [00:03<01:05,  3.83s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Hyperparameter search:  11% 2/18 [00:06<00:50,  3.13s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  17% 3/18 [00:09<00:44,  2.96s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  22% 4/18 [00:28<02:13,  9.52s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  28% 5/18 [00:33<01:42,  7.86s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Hyperparameter search:  33% 6/18 [00:37<01:17,  6.49s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  39% 7/18 [00:41<01:02,  5.71s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  44% 8/18 [00:49<01:04,  6.40s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  50% 9/18 [00:57<01:01,  6.84s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Hyperparameter search:  56% 10/18 [01:17<01:28, 11.04s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Hyperparameter search:  61% 11/18 [01:29<01:17, 11.10s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  67% 12/18 [01:44<01:15, 12.56s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  72% 13/18 [02:03<01:11, 14.29s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  78% 14/18 [02:24<01:06, 16.52s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  83% 15/18 [02:33<00:42, 14.08s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Hyperparameter search:  89% 16/18 [02:37<00:22, 11.08s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  94% 17/18 [02:45<00:10, 10.31s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search: 100% 18/18 [02:53<00:00,  9.62s/it]
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'p': 30, 'd': 2, 'q': 2}) 
 with NLL -1.826148
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Starting xsin TCN
Train length: 80, Val length: 60
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]************ Fitting model... ************
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed xsin TCN
No supported gpu backend found!
Finished xsin
Starting square text-davinci-003
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'text-davinci-003', 'alpha': 0.1, 'basic': True, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=' ,', bit_sep=' ', plus_sign='', minus_sign=' -', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
  0% 0/1 [00:00<?, ?it/s]Failed square text-davinci-003
The model `text-davinci-003` has been deprecated, learn more here: https://platform.openai.com/docs/deprecations
  0% 0/1 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Starting square gpt-4
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'model': 'gpt-4', 'alpha': 0.3, 'basic': True, 'temp': 1.0, 'top_p': 0.8, 'settings': SerializerSettings(base=10, prec=3, signed=True, fixed_length=False, max_val=10000000.0, time_sep=', ', bit_sep='', plus_sign='', minus_sign='-', half_bin_correction=True, decimal_point='', missing_str=' Nan')}) 
 with NLL inf
100% 1/1 [00:12<00:00, 12.10s/it]
Starting square arima
Train length: 80, Val length: 60
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/18 [00:00<?, ?it/s]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Hyperparameter search:   6% 1/18 [00:01<00:31,  1.85s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  11% 2/18 [00:05<00:43,  2.70s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  17% 3/18 [00:08<00:44,  2.94s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Hyperparameter search:  22% 4/18 [00:18<01:22,  5.86s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  28% 5/18 [00:25<01:19,  6.08s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  33% 6/18 [00:29<01:04,  5.39s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  39% 7/18 [00:30<00:45,  4.11s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Hyperparameter search:  44% 8/18 [00:40<00:58,  5.86s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  50% 9/18 [00:54<01:17,  8.58s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Hyperparameter search:  56% 10/18 [01:06<01:15,  9.43s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  61% 11/18 [01:15<01:05,  9.36s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  67% 12/18 [01:41<01:27, 14.59s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Hyperparameter search:  72% 13/18 [02:07<01:29, 17.83s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  78% 14/18 [02:41<01:31, 22.91s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  83% 15/18 [02:53<00:58, 19.57s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
Hyperparameter search:  89% 16/18 [03:02<00:32, 16.24s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search:  94% 17/18 [03:07<00:13, 13.05s/it]/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Hyperparameter search: 100% 18/18 [03:14<00:00, 10.83s/it]
Sampling with best hyper... defaultdict(<class 'dict'>, {'p': 30, 'd': 2, 'q': 0}) 
 with NLL -10.415359
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
  warn('Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters'
/usr/local/lib/python3.10/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:607: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
  warnings.warn("Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to "
Starting square TCN
Train length: 80, Val length: 60
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]************ Fitting model... ************
Hyperparameter search:   0% 0/24 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Failed square TCN
No supported gpu backend found!
Finished square
In [5]:
import os
import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import pickle

%load_ext autoreload
%autoreload 2

def plot_preds(train, test, pred_dict, model_name, show_samples=False):
    pred = pred_dict['median']
    pred = pd.Series(pred, index=test.index)
    plt.figure(figsize=(8, 6), dpi=100)
    plt.plot(train, color='black')
    plt.plot(test, label='Truth', color='black')
    plt.plot(pred, label=model_name, color='purple')
    # shade 90% confidence interval
    samples = pred_dict['samples']
    lower = np.quantile(samples, 0.05, axis=0)
    upper = np.quantile(samples, 0.95, axis=0)
    plt.fill_between(pred.index, lower, upper, alpha=0.3, color='purple')
    if show_samples:
        samples = pred_dict['samples']
        # convert df to numpy array
        samples = samples.values if isinstance(samples, pd.DataFrame) else samples
        for i in range(min(10, samples.shape[0])):
            plt.plot(pred.index, samples[i], color='purple', alpha=0.3, linewidth=1)
    plt.legend(loc='upper left')
    if 'NLL/D' in pred_dict:
        nll = pred_dict['NLL/D']
        if nll is not None:
            plt.text(0.03, 0.85, f'NLL/D: {nll:.2f}', transform=plt.gca().transAxes, bbox=dict(facecolor='white', alpha=0.5))
    plt.show()

Darts¶

In [6]:
from data.small_context import get_datasets

output_dir = 'precomputed_outputs/darts'
datasets = get_datasets()
for ds_name, data in datasets.items():
    print(ds_name)
    data = datasets[ds_name]
    train, test = data
    with open(f'{output_dir}/{ds_name}.pkl', 'rb') as f:
        out = pickle.load(f)
    for model in out:
        plot_preds(train, test, out[model], model, show_samples=True)

AirPassengersDataset

AusBeerDataset

GasRateCO2Dataset

MonthlyMilkDataset

SunspotsDataset

WineDataset

WoolyDataset

HeartRateDataset

Synthetic¶

In [9]:
from data.synthetic import get_synthetic_datasets
# output_dir = 'precomputed_outputs/synthetic'
output_dir = 'precomputed_outputs/synthetic'
datasets = get_synthetic_datasets()
for ds_name, data in datasets.items():
    print(ds_name)
    data = datasets[ds_name]
    train, test = data
    with open(f'{output_dir}/{ds_name}.pkl', 'rb') as f:
        out = pickle.load(f)
    for model in out:
        plot_preds(train, test, out[model], model, show_samples=True)

sinc

exp

x_times_sine

gaussian_wave

sigmoid

log

linear

sine

linear_cos

beat

xsin

square

Monash¶

In [4]:
def plot_monash_preds(train, test, pred_dict, model_name, max_series):
    for i in range(min(max_series, len(test))):
        if 'median' in pred_dict: # Check if 'median' key exists
            pred = pd.Series(pred_dict['median'][i], index=test[i].index)
        else:
            print(f"Warning: 'median' key not found for model {model_name}. Skipping plot.")
            continue # Skip to the next iteration if 'median' is missing

        plt.figure(figsize=(8, 6), dpi=100)
        plt.plot(train[i], color='black')
        plt.plot(test[i], label='Truth', color='black')
        plt.plot(pred, label=model_name, color='purple')
        plt.legend(loc='upper left')
        ymax = max(train[i].max(), test[i].max()) * 1.1
        ymin = plt.gca().get_ylim()[0]
        plt.ylim(ymin, ymax)
        if 'NLL/D' in pred_dict:
            nll = pred_dict['NLL/D'][i]
            if nll is not None:
                plt.text(0.03, 0.85, f'NLL/D: {nll:.2f}', transform=plt.gca().transAxes, bbox=dict(facecolor='white', alpha=0.5))
        plt.show()
In [5]:
from data.monash import get_datasets
import os
import pickle
import pandas as pd
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt

output_dir = 'precomputed_outputs/monash'
max_history_len = 500
datasets = get_datasets()
for ds_name, data in datasets.items():
    if not os.path.exists(f'{output_dir}/{ds_name}.pkl'):
        continue
    print(ds_name)
    data = datasets[ds_name]
    train, test = data
    train = [x[-max_history_len:] for x in train]
    # turn into pd series, ensure index starts at 0 for both train and test
    train = [pd.Series(train[i], index=pd.RangeIndex(0, len(train[i]))) for i in range(len(train))] # Start index at 0
    test = [pd.Series(test[i], index=pd.RangeIndex(len(train[i]), len(train[i]) + len(test[i]))) for i in range(len(test))]

    with open(f'{output_dir}/{ds_name}.pkl', 'rb') as f:
        out = pickle.load(f)
    for model in out:
      try:
        plot_monash_preds(train, test, out[model], model, max_series=3)
      except:
        continue

Loading test sets from datasets/monash
cif_2016

tourism_monthly

tourism_quarterly

tourism_yearly

weather

nn5_weekly

solar_weekly

covid_deaths

traffic_weekly

solar_10_minutes

hospital

saugeenday

fred_md

us_births

pedestrian_counts
australian_electricity_demand

nn5_daily

bitcoin

sunspot
traffic_hourly